Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth win on 2024-12-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6b58af9ae10f7aa2ba03d8a2195ac4b0af7774542b3904b0dc7cdffc63901c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 25c | 3,069$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,302.29 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 75c | 2,166$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.37 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked No | 79c | 1,247$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.11 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 22c | 1,213$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.14 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 45c | 1,163$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.93 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…adddbacked Yes | 23c | 999.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 75c | 959.77$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…004dbacked No | 77c | 919.28$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 46c | 916.37$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.77 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked No | 54c | 914.81$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 23c | 902.32$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.79 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 76c | 776.94$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.29 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Yes | 49c | 564.22$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c9…fde5backed No | 2c | 547.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 77c | 500.06$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.05 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…de3bbacked No | 3c | 478.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1d…c64ebacked No | 3c | 446.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…4e3dbacked No | 78c | 436.44$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.06 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 76cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40e…53ddbacked Yes | 24c | 411.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.27 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…5c09backed No | 77c | 402.6$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 72cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…c128backed No | 28c | 396.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed No | 52c | 381.52$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.39 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6608…293abacked No | 4c | 371.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Yes | 22c | 358.03$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.26 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 24c | 352.54$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.93 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfc…8addbacked No | 7c | 342.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce2…c6f6backed No | 8c | 325.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed No | 76c | 293.84$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.32 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 4c | 290.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 37c | 285.25$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.25 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfab1…be7abacked No | 13c | 262.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 22c | 247.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.69 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 69c | 221.98$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc483…2fe7backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…f868backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834e…8015backed Yes | 62c | 190$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.7 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 48c | 187.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e32…aedbbacked No | 28c | 180.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aea…abf1backed Yes | 48c | 178.08$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.6 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca0…b858backed No | 8c | 169.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…e9febacked No | 18c | 165.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…375abacked Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4020…11d1backed No | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…b28abacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79c…36c6backed Yes | 30c | 101.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.36 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -7.7wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5272…f0afbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked No | 45c | 95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 119 | 15.1%18 W · 101 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5594…c0b2backed No | 53c | 93.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed No | 55c | 84.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f22…a26ebacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 109 | 32.1%35 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 42c | 67.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed1f…3462backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Yes | 25c | 59.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.77 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…3a39backed Yes | 24c | 57.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -45%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x602c…7da0backed No | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 75c | 47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 75c | 47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 62c | 43.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5afc…ba0bbacked No | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 65cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5959…e745backed Yes | 56c | 35.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…b972backed No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf305…2ac3backed No | 78c | 25.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1986…60acbacked Yes | 57c | 23.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6acb…db6abacked No | 52c | 19.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 77c | 14.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth win on 2024-12-22?this page
- Will Manchester United vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.