Premier League · resolved market
Will Spain win?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52e38da96361f0324678a5f23daa8b94f075b7ef0ab2affc70f1b729621180b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes | 45c | 81,207$36,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,365.18 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7d…197cbacked No | 54c | 31,585$17,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,135.08 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…d337backed No | 55c | 17,860$9,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,820.63 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17c1…a606backed No | 56c | 11,678$6,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,595.67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Yes | 44c | 6,089$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,410 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 55c | 4,117$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259.37 | 153 | 28.8%44 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 55c | 4,031$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.5 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 55c | 4,000$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.98 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…7883backed No | 54c | 3,227$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.96 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc82…c7c5backed No | 55c | 2,873$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7012…14a4backed Yes | 49c | 2,859$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.21 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed No | 56c | 2,501$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.58 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3d…1c99backed Yes | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 55c | 1,398$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.23 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…e414backed No | 55c | 1,337$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…d105backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb4…a9bdbacked No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed No | 3c | 995$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc21…113bbacked Yes | 45c | 824.62$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.54 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ae…d4ddbacked Yes | 80c | 460$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…c675backed Yes | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1801…f2cbbacked Yes | 47c | 382.98$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6d…f52abacked Yes | 46c | 324.28$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +139.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed No | 55c | 309.09$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade0…dbacbacked Yes | 45c | 303$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2275…ed84backed Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1666…ba7bbacked Yes | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.87 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa29b…a0b8backed Yes | 45c | 222.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…e691backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0877…ba5abacked Yes | 46c | 217.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e70…9047backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757b…62c8backed Yes | 46c | 178.26$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…998dbacked Yes | 46c | 176.53$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41dc…fecbbacked Yes | 45c | 165.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…d498backed Yes | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f9…5ec7backed No | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…68fcbacked Yes | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…96a2backed Yes | 47c | 128.06$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.87 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d0…b6abbacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc82…76b5backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b04…e8bebacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b4…09a3backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a1…9b67backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe887…241abacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4952…4d90backed Yes | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +113%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf70…55ccbacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b4…3e5abacked Yes | 46c | 100.28$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9b…9a48backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Yes | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbcba…04ddbacked Yes | 52c | 94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9011…03a9backed Yes | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc7…1897backed Yes | 46c | 71.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7831…a4a7backed Yes | 46c | 54.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1321…9482backed Yes | 45c | 51.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcf…efe0backed Yes | 45c | 45.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b2…142bbacked No | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf368…71e1backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…8671backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +158.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92c2…674bbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb1…bdc4backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…0d22backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e6…3b42backed Yes | 50c | 43.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7e…518fbacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7c…f1a6backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…11a0backed Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec4…d66bbacked Yes | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…38d9backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…2b5dbacked Yes | 46c | 33.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…bb47backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…6329backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3e…830cbacked Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed No | 56c | 30.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…35eebacked Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…33c5backed No | 47c | 29.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 40cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…3789backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d75…fe41backed Yes | 55c | 19.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spain win?this page
- Will Italy win?No won
- Will the match be a draw? No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.