TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$122,247
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,070

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,247 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x87a1…b6babacked Yes32c46,875$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0004070%28 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No68c37,834$25,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,106.796437.5%24 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed No70c10,000$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0003860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No69c9,624$6,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,017.1898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Yes31c7,000$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,170728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-55.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes30c6,664$1,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,977.042,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked No69c6,301$4,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,953.311631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.27per pick58cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes31c5,016$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55510650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked No70c3,429$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.57560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+28.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6580…6fa8backed Yes30c2,154$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.761526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No69c2,082$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.5441854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6005064%32 W · 18 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No69c1,671$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.8149850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x769b…2ea9backed Yes32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df2…8621backed Yes1c1,557$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.430%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbe…d46abacked No70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes1c1,409$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4d…ebdebacked No71c1,101$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.18988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No69c1,086$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.6640447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce55…6b25backed No70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No69c999.97$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.5640549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No69c947$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.0935646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41da…0b58backed Yes6c883.33$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-40.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No70c742.23$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.673253.1%17 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No75c721.47$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.7829862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8e11…b22bbacked Yes31c677.42$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes30c583.42$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.668750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0a15…4cdcbacked Yes31c579.36$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22eb…7347backed Yes31c576.34$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29dc…24e6backed Yes31c576.32$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f7…d191backed Yes31c574.31$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2815…ce37backed Yes31c567.91$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e3…47acbacked Yes32c547.31$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe184…8919backed Yes31c517.36$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a77…2afcbacked Yes31c516.13$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15538547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes30c496$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.844753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x45b6…af36backed Yes31c483.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Yes31c478.44$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes32c462.22$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.561553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc948…314bbacked Yes31c437.47$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ae…6f0ebacked Yes31c423.13$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes26c405.56$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1068617.4%15 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes31c393$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.8322348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No74c392.21$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.6849137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No68c389.98$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.598158%47 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked No69c372.46$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.462347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc82…c7c5backed No70c366$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.81361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes27c362.74$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.944837.5%18 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008052.5%42 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes4c321.9$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0751139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Yes32c316.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Yes32c314.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed No70c307.14$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.144447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9321445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No69c299.99$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9326046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes16c291.83$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.583237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4c4…f4cbbacked No69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.86944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed No70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No69c281.28$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.246047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b70…3102backed Yes27c274.47$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-30.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Yes31c250$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.58058.8%47 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes31c245$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9526241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe361…7f60backed No70c243.87$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.16366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes19c231.48$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457240.3%29 W · 43 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde1e…e953backed No70c221.77$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.533100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4507…dc26backed No70c215.49$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes30c214.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.722743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6df…0814backed No70c214.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.27475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x859f…e766backed No70c209.21$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1094…f1f5backed No70c205.67$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+85.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31bf…f08dbacked Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7149…b782backed No70c199.79$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1d0…aaacbacked No70c198.32$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes31c197.6$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.263129%9 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44b2…8badbacked No70c196.13$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3862…5cdebacked No70c191.19$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6765…5478backed No70c181.35$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+106.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc08f…2cb3backed No70c179.89$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes28c169.51$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4914845.3%67 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc605…6037backed No70c164.7$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes27c164.01$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.952147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5000…a3b1backed No70c163.92$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2e8…d98dbacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51a6…3384backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3903…7731backed No70c160.28$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93d8…028cbacked No70c158.42$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.532100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe49a…f498backed Yes31c157.35$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.78650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+55.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed53…ca2cbacked No70c151.54$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02c…8c61backed No70c151.12$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.34250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47da…ce18backed No70c148.38$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.513100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+74.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f4…5d61backed No70c147.19$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x381a…0ed5backed No70c146.28$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick67cpaid+50.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes29c144$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7615844.3%70 W · 88 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad9…3cb4backed No69c143.48$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.481030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed No71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc04d…1411backed No70c140.17$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Yes32c138.59$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.353941%16 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.