Serie A · resolved market
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12e46bfdcd71d40173de93aefa45d33ba51122e08657fdafd2545da34aa15625
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $300,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $320,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 41c | 45,435$18,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,628.35 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 59c | 39,651$23,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,064.25 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 41c | 26,638$10,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,921.58 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 20,806$12,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,485.94 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 20,489$12,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,349.96 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,200 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 59c | 13,300$7,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,453.1 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 6c | 10,331$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.94 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 41c | 9,419$3,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,858.13 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed No | 59c | 8,564$5,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,511.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked No | 59c | 8,475$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,474.57 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 39c | 7,043$2,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,746.73 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked No | 60c | 6,640$3,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,656 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 61c | 6,066$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.57 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 9c | 5,555$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.3 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes | 0c | 5,009$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed No | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Yes | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 1c | 4,766$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Yes | 42c | 4,119$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,730 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 41c | 4,110$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.26 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 59c | 2,932$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.06 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 59c | 2,547$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.22 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.37 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed No | 59c | 2,492$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.53 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Yes | 40c | 2,385$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 60c | 2,234$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.28 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0783…73dbbacked Yes | 2c | 2,100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70f…94bfbacked Yes | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 59c | 1,856$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.95 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked No | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.91 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 59c | 1,590$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.9 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 59c | 1,540$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.4 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 24c | 1,537$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 72c | 1,529$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.84 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…fbbbbacked No | 59c | 1,495$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,230$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…d6d1backed No | 61c | 1,220$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes | 42c | 1,186$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 39c | 1,128$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 59c | 1,115$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.31 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…9399backed Yes | 40c | 900$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4053…91b9backed Yes | 40c | 820$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…c16fbacked Yes | 40c | 810$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…b24abacked No | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 25c | 789.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…d4d2backed No | 61c | 760$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 61c | 752.02$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…1050backed Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8a…4e15backed Yes | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 14c | 741.67$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 60c | 704.16$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.5 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…f06bbacked Yes | 40c | 700$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5a…962fbacked No | 61c | 680$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5598…e29bbacked No | 61c | 660$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 40c | 654$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.03 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73eb…a22bbacked Yes | 40c | 640$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 3c | 600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe247…29f6backed Yes | 36c | 587.8$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Yes | 30c | 562.2$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 59c | 533.82$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.87 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 72c | 518.19$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.09 | 116 | 67.2%78 W · 38 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Yes | 41c | 507.32$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9f…2fbbbacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea1…186cbacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…b06bbacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3287…3dc3backed No | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 460 | 47.4%218 W · 242 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 486.86$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.47 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 24c | 475.98$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.22 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 60c | 415.55$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.22 | 385 | 47.8%184 W · 201 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 60c | 413.53$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.41 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…2935backed No | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 41c | 317.07$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 40c | 312.5$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 59c | 302.71$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.11 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66cb…f219backed Yes | 40c | 301.16$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…72bebacked Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2369…5174backed No | 61c | 293.65$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8e…c44abacked No | 61c | 276.34$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Yes | 20c | 275$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…9133backed Yes | 40c | 268.83$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 38c | 265.61$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.93 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 18c | 262$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-02?this page
- Will Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?No won
- Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-03-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.