Premier League · resolved market
Will France win?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2421d5c46ce736ad659fa50f7e28bedd082895be565b3c4113f192b7fee88819
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes | 43c | 73,618$31,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,433.81 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7d…197cbacked No | 58c | 25,261$14,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,581.75 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…d337backed No | 57c | 12,064$6,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,187.68 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…ffbebacked No | 56c | 7,475$4,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,288.91 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe036…0baebacked Yes | 44c | 6,818$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +155%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 57c | 5,517$3,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,377.75 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…7883backed No | 57c | 5,244$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.99 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 58c | 3,469$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.95 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 56c | 3,154$1,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.33 | 153 | 28.8%44 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed No | 59c | 2,513$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.26 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 57c | 2,219$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.88 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd7…0b65backed Yes | 42c | 2,142$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc82…c7c5backed No | 56c | 2,076$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.58 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 58c | 2,000$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…ed6fbacked Yes | 43c | 1,270$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…fb6cbacked Yes | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb163…3d0ebacked Yes | 45c | 1,112$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc0…5386backed Yes | 53c | 1,020$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Yes | 42c | 517.29$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.64 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c41…deedbacked Yes | 45c | 444.22$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Yes | 43c | 372.24$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.58 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…0dfabacked No | 60c | 305$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed Yes | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked Yes | 45c | 265.6$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92c2…674bbacked Yes | 44c | 251.84$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf732…7c06backed Yes | 44c | 250.52$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.23 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a1…9b67backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…0029backed Yes | 42c | 237.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…e691backed Yes | 44c | 226.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…96a2backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28c9…5769backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…d498backed Yes | 41c | 171$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.11 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…68fcbacked Yes | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…56afbacked No | 57c | 149.12$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f24…513ebacked No | 57c | 143.5$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.03 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41dc…fecbbacked Yes | 43c | 142$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8946…1b70backed Yes | 10c | 140.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…5aa6backed Yes | 47c | 138.86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b04…e8bebacked Yes | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c1…5b99backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0877…ba5abacked Yes | 68c | 117.65$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1666…ba7bbacked Yes | 44c | 112.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec4…d66bbacked Yes | 45c | 111.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…c675backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745b…ff04backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7012…4035backed Yes | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc21…113bbacked Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e10…ce29backed Yes | 74c | 79.53$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Yes | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -6.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb01…93c4backed Yes | 42c | 75.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…11a0backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…ade8backed Yes | 41c | 65.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked No | 54c | 59.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…b195backed Yes | 41c | 57.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…aed5backed Yes | 46c | 56.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7831…a4a7backed Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2433…8ae5backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47f…99a1backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1321…9482backed Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e5…2244backed Yes | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9e71backed Yes | 46c | 36.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…2b5dbacked Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf581…e0c3backed Yes | 46c | 35.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…97cbbacked No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +104%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…ea10backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25db…07a6backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…a43fbacked Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 46c | 32.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa723…d105backed Yes | 45c | 31.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf22…d46ebacked No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa789…13b3backed Yes | 45c | 29.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0235…dd07backed No | 58c | 29.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd6…0ec1backed Yes | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00aa…6b4bbacked Yes | 45c | 28.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e2…dfb2backed No | 57c | 28.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b0…9f58backed Yes | 47c | 26.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd20…7639backed No | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…d40dbacked Yes | 45c | 24.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…938fbacked Yes | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…fccfbacked No | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will France win?this page
- Will Netherlands win?No won
- Will the match be a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.