Bundesliga · resolved market
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac9ab31916c42b7c1ea7c9e3231b4ad32c2543515f6e3a7d7c3474eabb35c72f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,433 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Over | 47c | 109,402$51,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,419.08 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Under | 53c | 64,779$34,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,446.05 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 30,929$17,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,837.86 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Over | 47c | 21,000$9,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,869.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 53c | 17,500$9,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,249.99 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Under | 53c | 8,298$4,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 42c | 4,870$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056.7 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Under | 53c | 4,264$2,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.1 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Under | 53c | 4,062$2,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 20c | 2,376$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.68 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2196…da90backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 47c | 1,975$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.61 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 53c | 1,409$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.45 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 53c | 1,058$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.06 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 48c | 962$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.76 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 951.04$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.27 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Under | 53c | 799.97$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.98 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Over | 27c | 638$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.26 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Under | 53c | 613.21$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.21 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 53c | 547.81$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.47 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 12c | 529.01$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 47c | 457$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.79 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 53c | 275.24$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.36 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 63c | 250.68$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.34 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 9c | 249.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 62c | 246.52$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.68 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 48c | 229.17$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Over | 48c | 212.76$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 26c | 199.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…d1c9backed Over | 35c | 199.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 54c | 198.18$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.48 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 69c | 188.7$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 52c | 178.25$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Over | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cf…cf82backed Under | 54c | 108.68$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Under | 53c | 105.74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Under | 53c | 101.75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ef…190abacked Over | 47c | 98.65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ae…035cbacked Over | 47c | 96.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 46c | 95.19$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf25a…d724backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9730…1cedbacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Under | 55c | 90.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.9 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa224…3e32backed Under | 54c | 86.35$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 53c | 82.69$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Under | 53c | 77.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.53 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…1394backed Over | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 28c | 71.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 56c | 66.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 35c | 65.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Under | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 52c | 53.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 53c | 53.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 47c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 47.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 53c | 46.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x111c…40a3backed Over | 47c | 42.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc82…c7c5backed Under | 53c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +103%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 53c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 52c | 39.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.07 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f62…0412backed Over | 47c | 39.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ea…d40abacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Under | 53c | 37.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Over | 47c | 34.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…0b8abacked Over | 47c | 32.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…31e7backed Under | 53c | 31.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ad…21f7backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…edb9backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -7.6wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd25c…fe19backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…639ebacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…acfebacked Under | 54c | 30.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Under | 35c | 30.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc9…c447backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…195fbacked Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c0…e4c7backed Under | 54c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Under | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 52c | 24.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa684…ca71backed Over | 48c | 21.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)VfL Wolfsburg won
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)VfL Wolfsburg won
- Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-1.5)TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5Under won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.