Bundesliga · resolved market
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61ad9ab8a9b7942ea8ba8c1f2b645db149450a64dbf13b31a421c77bf81c531d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,304 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 69c | 4,459$3,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,076.71 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 31c | 2,459$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.5 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 2,412$934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.61 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 31c | 1,612$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.05 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Over | 69c | 1,450$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.5 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 1,263$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.3 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 821.18$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.16 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 69c | 682.66$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Over | 68c | 659.01$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 38c | 580$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.8 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 31c | 400$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 31c | 396.14$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.3 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 32c | 363.71$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.94 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 32c | 342.31$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.07 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Over | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -7.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -47%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 31c | 283.67$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.73 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 52c | 260$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 74c | 228.32$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 31c | 219.43$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.73 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 43c | 202.33$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 20c | 200.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 24c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Over | 22c | 199.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 55c | 183.51$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.58 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…471fbacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 60c | 136.64$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 67c | 118.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…d1c9backed Over | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 31c | 95.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…b181backed Over | 69c | 87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 31c | 84.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 32c | 81.48$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.41 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 69c | 76.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57dc…01ffbacked Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 69c | 72.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…2f03backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…c65dbacked Over | 67c | 69.87$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f03…dc32backed Over | 32c | 66.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 41cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 31c | 66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Over | 69c | 62.68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +5.5wins | +0.29per pick | 34cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 147 | 58.5%86 W · 61 L | +15.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 30c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 24c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 68c | 49.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…edb9backed Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -7.6wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked Over | 68c | 40.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Over | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cf…3f01backed Over | 69c | 38.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 31c | 37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 30c | 36.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f9…e294backed Over | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…b766backed Over | 69c | 34.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 35c | 32.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3160…e846backed Under | 62c | 32.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 62c | 31.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Under | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3e…ca63backed Under | 55c | 29.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Over | 70c | 28.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Over | 70c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked Under | 48c | 26.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 59c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330d…f871backed Over | 40c | 25.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 60c | 24.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 54c | 22.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Over | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Under | 73c | 19.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)VfL Wolfsburg won
- Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)VfL Wolfsburg won
- Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-1.5)TSG 1899 Hoffenheim won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5Under won
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.