NBA · resolved market
NBA Finals Game 1: Celtics vs. Mavericks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb27e421cf7affa5092022cc15d17dfcc06cf1cd6fcd37d93fa5bc0b007de9c3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Celtics | 69c | 6,444$4,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.57 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed Celtics | 67c | 4,343$2,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.96 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ece…20bbbacked Mavericks | 33c | 3,895$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Mavericks | 21c | 3,450$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.5 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2767…ffb2backed Celtics | 70c | 2,998$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd7…0b65backed Mavericks | 31c | 2,217$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7f…bd2ebacked Celtics | 68c | 2,019$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6b…125fbacked Mavericks | 32c | 2,016$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Mavericks | 30c | 1,816$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.83 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fa…f111backed Mavericks | 13c | 1,632$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked Mavericks | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 4cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Celtics | 69c | 990.07$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.92 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -10.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc88f…987abacked Celtics | 70c | 857.14$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc82…c7c5backed Celtics | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x734d…b810backed Celtics | 68c | 705.88$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…8ca3backed Mavericks | 31c | 704.84$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.5 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…949cbacked Celtics | 70c | 704.29$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked Mavericks | 34c | 577.61$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.61 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Mavericks | 5c | 563.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.17 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbc…8c98backed Celtics | 70c | 528.57$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef0…20cbbacked Mavericks | 24c | 502.47$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Celtics | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2156…7345backed Mavericks | 48c | 447.33$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c69…ae23backed Celtics | 70c | 439.23$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Celtics | 64c | 410.53$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.17 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c2…498ebacked Mavericks | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fc…a9e7backed Celtics | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Mavericks | 33c | 355.73$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.39 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f9…bffbbacked Mavericks | 31c | 338.39$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb956…c475backed Mavericks | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…c639backed Mavericks | 34c | 320.94$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x157b…868abacked Mavericks | 31c | 306.45$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad0…fcdbbacked Mavericks | 8c | 252.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x757b…62c8backed Mavericks | 31c | 241.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1325…e491backed Mavericks | 33c | 224.76$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Celtics | 70c | 214.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Celtics | 68c | 212.25$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.92 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad38…73ccbacked Celtics | 70c | 197.09$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed Mavericks | 32c | 195$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.26 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Celtics | 69c | 179.36$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…ea89backed Mavericks | 31c | 171.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbee9…385ebacked Celtics | 68c | 167.32$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3c…d1a8backed Mavericks | 33c | 166.18$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8525backed Celtics | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…896dbacked Celtics | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…841ebacked Celtics | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a6…ce96backed Celtics | 70c | 141.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…53f5backed Celtics | 70c | 141.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2162…4dc7backed Mavericks | 33c | 136.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0581…92b9backed Celtics | 68c | 134.22$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -51%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…9b57backed Celtics | 69c | 130.43$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec4…617cbacked Celtics | 68c | 120.13$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bc…8edfbacked Celtics | 68c | 116.43$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…fc8ebacked Mavericks | 33c | 115.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eaf…7492backed Celtics | 70c | 114.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0a…4facbacked Celtics | 70c | 114.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…2216backed Celtics | 68c | 107.46$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…95e1backed Mavericks | 31c | 105$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2be…681cbacked Celtics | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc077…dab3backed Mavericks | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…0116backed Celtics | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf0…33cbbacked Mavericks | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd07…4e45backed Mavericks | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -73%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…7e92backed Mavericks | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5c…44a4backed Mavericks | 32c | 99.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24cf…8455backed Mavericks | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9224…a1e2backed Mavericks | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8012…5e3bbacked Celtics | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…0a29backed Celtics | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa003…52b5backed Celtics | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ea…1959backed Mavericks | 33c | 79.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…c91ebacked Celtics | 69c | 79.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7931…74acbacked Celtics | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7071…56e1backed Celtics | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11cb…0ea2backed Celtics | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Celtics | 69c | 64.42$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…1815backed Mavericks | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5acd…323cbacked Mavericks | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44fe…91ddbacked Mavericks | 32c | 59.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…c155backed Celtics | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…96c1backed Celtics | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbc…55efbacked Celtics | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1d…b57fbacked Mavericks | 32c | 56.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Mavericks | 31c | 50.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x352c…a3d7backed Mavericks | 32c | 50.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf274…300cbacked Mavericks | 32c | 50.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d2…d6d2backed Mavericks | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe719…5d61backed Celtics | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf690…ff18backed Celtics | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9425…17b5backed Celtics | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd302…473abacked Mavericks | 31c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8161…ab08backed Celtics | 69c | 40.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9f…99f7backed Celtics | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19fb…5077backed Celtics | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…1d1abacked Mavericks | 32c | 34.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebfe…ffa6backed Mavericks | 33c | 34.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6110…8ea5backed Celtics | 70c | 33.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…8697backed Celtics | 69c | 31.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d65…a6dabacked Mavericks | 32c | 31.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…188bbacked Mavericks | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 186 | 28%52 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.