Tennis · resolved market
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Eudice Chong vs Suzan Lamens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58ac4ab1f1561957310154eeb0c9ac553098bc1787b233bc63c2efb7f456aacf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chongof Chong, Lamens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lamens | 33c | 9,655$3,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,172.43 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Chong | 15c | 4,000$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,393.88 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Lamens | 55c | 2,862$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Chong | 51c | 2,358$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.48 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Chong | 26c | 2,326$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.1 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Lamens | 60c | 1,838$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.76 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Lamens | 69c | 1,827$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.54 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…ab80backed Lamens | 29c | 1,136$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.29 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Chong | 61c | 1,000$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.41 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Lamens | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 291 | 52.6%153 W · 138 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…af1abacked Lamens | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…88a5backed Chong | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Lamens | 56c | 586.47$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.91 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Chong | 32c | 450$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc172…47cbbacked Chong | 26c | 425.37$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.75 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Lamens | 58c | 422.37$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.09 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Lamens | 35c | 394.03$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c63…a2f9backed Chong | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.05 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Chong | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Chong | 44c | 230$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Lamens | 60c | 166.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b5…cf5fbacked Chong | 72c | 130$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Chong | 18c | 115.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.02 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Lamens | 45c | 110.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 177 | 41.8%74 W · 103 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Chong | 18c | 110.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.92 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1544…6f27backed Chong | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chong | 49c | 93.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…7811backed Lamens | 49c | 92.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9494…308abacked Chong | 47c | 86.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…2bccbacked Chong | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a8…e268backed Lamens | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked Lamens | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Chong | 64c | 45.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Lamens | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 729 | 57.3%418 W · 311 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…2eaebacked Chong | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 66 | 75.8%50 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc1…6362backed Chong | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…597ebacked Chong | 54c | 25.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…e189backed Chong | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Chong | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ab…3165backed Chong | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.