TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Hellenic Championship: Brandon Nakashima vs Marcos Giron

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gironof Nakashima, Giron
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$146,085
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,589

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,085 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7606…2836backed Nakashima58c19,743$11,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,422.137857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Giron47c13,489$6,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,094.558,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Giron42c11,470$4,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,652.610845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Giron48c8,033$3,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,195.3216644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Nakashima35c5,063$1,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.036,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Nakashima60c4,268$2,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,578.591,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7355…9443backed Nakashima47c4,146$1,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,955.192147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Giron43c4,047$1,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,307.9919835.4%70 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3450…6793backed Giron68c3,658$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,158.422770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+31.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7deb…7c0abacked Nakashima1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302722.2%6 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Nakashima63c3,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.9944360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x567a…35aabacked Nakashima59c2,750$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Giron62c2,501$1,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.872,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fe6…9f5abacked Nakashima59c2,448$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,444.32333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x171b…51dbbacked Nakashima58c2,355$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfde6…b557backed Giron42c2,347$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.26633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5ba…3669backed Nakashima58c2,265$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.7650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Giron39c2,250$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38060053.8%323 W · 277 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Nakashima39c2,174$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.3565647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Giron56c2,072$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.0222629.2%66 W · 160 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b14…6606backed Nakashima58c2,070$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe26e…605ebacked Giron42c1,988$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,153.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9646…bf2bbacked Nakashima58c1,743$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010.94650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9266…8f3cbacked Nakashima59c1,704$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.4925556.1%143 W · 112 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Nakashima37c1,699$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62528952.6%152 W · 137 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Giron58c1,620$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.322,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Nakashima26c1,553$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.0151933.1%172 W · 347 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x363c…4463backed Giron39c1,500$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92027431.8%87 W · 187 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec70…3a28backed Giron42c1,491$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$864.78666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Nakashima45c1,470$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.51,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47ae…82d3backed Giron41c1,385$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.153100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+82%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fb4…11aabacked Giron41c1,365$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64fa…220dbacked Giron42c1,345$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.1633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd795…2967backed Giron41c1,325$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7b8…5c4bbacked Giron43c1,260$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc39…0fe7backed Giron42c1,232$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed Nakashima57c1,200$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6843151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked Giron43c1,200$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6842748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6864…7635backed Giron43c1,200$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fb…3b99backed Giron36c1,200$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.928530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0979…c6fdbacked Giron42c1,123$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34b4…2256backed Giron41c1,123$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Nakashima57c1,116$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.6725722.2%57 W · 200 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2b2…9309backed Nakashima58c1,110$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-50.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddd0…83c1backed Nakashima57c1,100$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c42…3307backed Nakashima58c1,093$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.94650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe01b…b4bcbacked Giron42c1,033$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.14560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+42.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb874…e15ebacked Nakashima58c1,033$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.14560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c52…2ae6backed Giron42c1,031$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e9…933fbacked Nakashima58c1,031$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.98540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-38.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Giron37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6307037.1%26 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e79…ff8bbacked Nakashima9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903262.5%20 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+37.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Giron44c976.62$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.362,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Nakashima44c951.76$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.7875547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Nakashima59c821$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.391,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb2…6b94backed Nakashima37c810.81$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007041.4%29 W · 41 L+7.4wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+2.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Giron40c713.17$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.9865242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Nakashima48c700.68$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.5217442.5%74 W · 100 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Nakashima37c615.96$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.916530.8%20 W · 45 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Giron41c604.33$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.3924637.4%92 W · 154 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09fd…5859backed Giron42c600$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+47.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Giron44c551.13$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.1388446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fb1…e083backed Nakashima57c550.99$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.06650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa45a…7c80backed Nakashima57c510$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.7666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Nakashima59c502.84$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.5524852%129 W · 119 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x400f…dd2fbacked Nakashima57c460$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbe0…3eddbacked Giron43c420$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.4650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+28.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x853c…0320backed Giron41c419$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+94.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57dd…6ab4backed Nakashima52c403.06$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Giron40c399.75$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.8362742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Giron53c366.32$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.733352.6%175 W · 158 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Nakashima59c338.13$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20046556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c8…9751backed Nakashima36c333.03$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.89616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed Nakashima57c326.32$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18624446.3%113 W · 131 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904d…779bbacked Giron42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Nakashima27c296.41$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7928139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d83…3ceabacked Nakashima57c290$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.3580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+46.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Nakashima58c275.86$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16026462.1%164 W · 100 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Nakashima61c270$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.48248.8%40 W · 42 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Nakashima57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506250%31 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e92…cd3dbacked Nakashima59c255.08$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaaef…a883backed Giron41c250$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.52227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa48e…b476backed Nakashima64c234.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15017439.7%69 W · 105 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b04…6549backed Giron43c230.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.634630.4%14 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7266…1affbacked Nakashima57c230$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x220b…147bbacked Nakashima59c220$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Nakashima47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa25…e09fbacked Giron42c210$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Giron58c201.45$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.8211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc88d…1da9backed Giron44c200$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1137934.2%27 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62c7…d64fbacked Nakashima55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giron42c188.98$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.761,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aa8…a58ebacked Nakashima59c182$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Nakashima60c178$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.071,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Nakashima33c175.76$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5824529.8%73 W · 172 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f85…7e17backed Nakashima59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002055%11 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3659…7654backed Nakashima59c169$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed Nakashima64c165.51$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7910456.7%59 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Nakashima62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Nakashima59c158.59$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.571844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.