Tennis · resolved market
Open de Moselle, Qualification: Billy Harris vs Luca Van Assche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfef0e1d7291d59933a3f446297aaab26d24a38a1221265c518cb46d68325e4e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Asscheof Harris, Assche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Harris | 35c | 820$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.8wins | +0.40per pick | 43cpaid | +97%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xffaa…7fd4backed Harris | 14c | 700.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Harris | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.95 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Assche | 76c | 632.85$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.05 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Harris | 3c | 600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 22.2%24 W · 84 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Harris | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Harris | 31c | 319.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Harris | 18c | 304.34$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e4a1backed Harris | 38c | 266.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.03 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Harris | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…f246backed Harris | 13c | 163.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Assche | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2677…533cbacked Harris | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a8…e268backed Assche | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f9…629abacked Harris | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…842cbacked Assche | 66c | 76.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Harris | 28c | 46.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Harris | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Assche | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.