College Football · resolved market
Illinois vs. Washington
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdaa9f6c65e5c6f4ce08dc579306b9063c7dc85b2e5817074c67b56bec3be9b49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washingtonof Illinois, Washington
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $335,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $354,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $335,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Washington | 61c | 133,507$81,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,267.83 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Illinois | 39c | 50,000$19,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,499.98 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Illinois | 37c | 29,711$11,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,075.2 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Illinois | 39c | 27,862$10,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,905.94 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Washington | 60c | 26,195$15,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,478.1 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Washington | 62c | 22,312$13,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,438.02 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Illinois | 40c | 21,004$8,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,391.55 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Illinois | 38c | 17,186$6,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,530.68 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Washington | 61c | 14,996$9,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,848.49 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Illinois | 40c | 12,063$4,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,785.76 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Illinois | 40c | 10,661$4,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,264.51 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Illinois | 39c | 10,407$4,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,058.8 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Illinois | 40c | 9,466$3,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,748.3 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Illinois | 39c | 7,500$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,925 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953d…2d1fbacked Illinois | 40c | 6,916$2,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,766.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c39…f94dbacked Washington | 60c | 6,888$4,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Washington | 60c | 6,120$3,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Illinois | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Washington | 62c | 4,284$2,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.67 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington | 60c | 4,138$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.84 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Washington | 60c | 3,959$2,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.75 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Illinois | 36c | 3,763$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.65 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Illinois | 44c | 3,620$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed Washington | 58c | 3,156$1,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.74 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Washington | 58c | 3,088$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.59 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Illinois | 40c | 2,874$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.7 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Illinois | 40c | 2,529$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Washington | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Washington | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Illinois | 39c | 2,250$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.71 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Washington | 62c | 2,225$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.45 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Washington | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…794cbacked Washington | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…3eacbacked Illinois | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Washington | 59c | 1,827$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.94 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Illinois | 36c | 1,619$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.13 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…b76cbacked Washington | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb641…ac31backed Illinois | 40c | 1,469$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…5093backed Washington | 61c | 1,468$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Illinois | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Illinois | 32c | 1,198$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.45 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…e7aabacked Washington | 66c | 1,000$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed Washington | 70c | 1,000$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Illinois | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Washington | 60c | 951.67$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.67 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Illinois | 3c | 870.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Washington | 62c | 806.73$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.6 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f8…c69ebacked Illinois | 40c | 748.95$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Illinois | 38c | 744$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.72 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Washington | 53c | 710.38$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.38 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Washington | 61c | 622.12$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.59 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Washington | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Washington | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Washington | 56c | 500$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.5 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Washington | 60c | 456.31$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.53 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Illinois | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Washington | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked Washington | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked Washington | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Washington | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed Washington | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Washington | 59c | 256$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.96 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Washington | 61c | 254.1$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.1 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2b…383dbacked Illinois | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Illinois | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Washington | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Washington | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a8…57d5backed Illinois | 40c | 187.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3529…a599backed Washington | 61c | 180.33$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 62cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Illinois | 40c | 168$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Washington | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Washington | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…d649backed Illinois | 31c | 158.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed Washington | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…e803backed Illinois | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Washington | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Illinois | 36c | 144$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 292 | 49%143 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Illinois | 40c | 138$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington | 51c | 122.55$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed Illinois | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…88d3backed Illinois | 41c | 118.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…6261backed Washington | 60c | 118.8$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Illinois | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5763…0f56backed Illinois | 40c | 102.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Washington | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd6…779bbacked Washington | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…a393backed Washington | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…87b8backed Washington | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +34%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…0b7cbacked Illinois | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…892fbacked Illinois | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…c285backed Washington | 65c | 91.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.02 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Illinois | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4de…cb5cbacked Washington | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9492…1f25backed Illinois | 39c | 73.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Illinois | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28fb…9490backed Washington | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Washington | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…3bfebacked Illinois | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f5…009bbacked Illinois | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…bf65backed Illinois | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Illinois vs. Washingtonthis page
- Illinois vs. Washington: O/U 53.5Over won
- Illinois vs. Washington: O/U 54.5Over won
- Spread: Washington (-3.5)Washington won
- Spread: Washington (-4.5)Washington won
- Spread: Washington (-5.5)Washington won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.