NHL · resolved market
Senators vs. Blackhawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17732cd16ff60ec82dd2d870e43c2c5a4fe238ab8b811fabc69338d91b8e11d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blackhawksof Senators, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $292,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $323,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Senators | 56c | 80,312$44,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,974.74 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Blackhawks | 46c | 61,241$28,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,105.24 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x145c…43bcbacked Senators | 57c | 28,274$16,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,112.82 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Senators | 1c | 21,072$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.74 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77a7…4058backed Senators | 51c | 15,200$7,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,752 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd076…d2efbacked Blackhawks | 49c | 15,200$7,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,752 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Blackhawks | 43c | 11,627$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,627.39 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Blackhawks | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Blackhawks | 43c | 9,000$3,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,130 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Senators | 56c | 8,995$5,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,037.2 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Blackhawks | 43c | 8,109$3,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,602.62 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Senators | 11c | 6,945$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.94 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Blackhawks | 44c | 6,698$2,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750.88 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Senators | 26c | 5,829$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.82 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Blackhawks | 44c | 5,563$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,115.28 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Senators | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.97 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Blackhawks | 65c | 4,969$3,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,719.71 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Blackhawks | 43c | 4,583$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,612.65 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Senators | 26c | 3,914$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.27 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Senators | 58c | 3,500$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Blackhawks | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00c9…8407backed Senators | 57c | 2,368$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Blackhawks | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.82 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…3eacbacked Senators | 56c | 2,300$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Blackhawks | 43c | 2,227$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.58 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…794cbacked Blackhawks | 45c | 2,140$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…d3a1backed Senators | 55c | 2,122$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.98 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Senators | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Senators | 8c | 1,832$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.23 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Senators | 29c | 1,631$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Blackhawks | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Blackhawks | 42c | 1,380$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.34 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Blackhawks | 43c | 1,308$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.14 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a65…98d5backed Senators | 57c | 1,228$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Blackhawks | 43c | 1,187$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.81 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blackhawks | 71c | 1,178$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.39 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e0…175abacked Blackhawks | 44c | 1,170$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc650…02d2backed Blackhawks | 44c | 1,159$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Senators | 19c | 1,141$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.17 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Senators | 27c | 1,124$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Senators | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Blackhawks | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Blackhawks | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Blackhawks | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Blackhawks | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Blackhawks | 44c | 999.99$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.99 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Senators | 1c | 933$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Senators | 54c | 932.2$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.39 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Senators | 56c | 911.99$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.36 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…1d5fbacked Senators | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Senators | 2c | 860.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Blackhawks | 44c | 810.46$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.02 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Blackhawks | 43c | 711$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.27 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Blackhawks | 69c | 647.5$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.98 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Blackhawks | 43c | 647.15$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.87 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Blackhawks | 74c | 637.24$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Senators | 2c | 600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 101 | 6.9%7 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Blackhawks | 43c | 519.73$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.25 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Blackhawks | 43c | 499.96$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.98 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Senators | 7c | 425$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…85ccbacked Senators | 57c | 404.94$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62e…cba8backed Blackhawks | 46c | 404.91$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.91 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Blackhawks | 69c | 400.86$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.01 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Blackhawks | 44c | 399.99$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21d…a769backed Senators | 30c | 388.16$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.36 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Senators | 55c | 340.91$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Blackhawks | 46c | 339$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.17 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Blackhawks | 44c | 332.15$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.01 | 487 | 48.3%235 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Blackhawks | 45c | 329$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.33 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…831fbacked Blackhawks | 44c | 306.82$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Blackhawks | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc1…f4a6backed Blackhawks | 44c | 295.45$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0772…77ebbacked Senators | 57c | 280.7$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec7…43f8backed Blackhawks | 44c | 272.73$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…b0efbacked Senators | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c2…af74backed Blackhawks | 44c | 261.36$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…ae8dbacked Blackhawks | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb043…e715backed Blackhawks | 44c | 245.45$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Blackhawks | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Blackhawks | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Blackhawks | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e70…0d1bbacked Blackhawks | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Blackhawks | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a5…6721backed Senators | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Senators | 53c | 177.95$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Senators | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d5…e1e2backed Blackhawks | 44c | 160$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ead…e155backed Senators | 57c | 157.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…abf9backed Blackhawks | 45c | 156.13$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.87 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Senators | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Senators | 55c | 149.96$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.48 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Blackhawks | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Senators | 54c | 137.35$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.59 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Senators | 11c | 130$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Senators | 40c | 125.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Senators | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c49…7c10backed Senators | 56c | 112.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.89 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1114…d59abacked Blackhawks | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 229 | 49.3%113 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…32c2backed Blackhawks | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blackhawks | 72c | 109.24$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senators vs. Blackhawksthis page
- Senators vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Blackhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.