Champions League · resolved market
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7985f7af5b70409b6ba006680ae03ebdce7d8e024540998164008f2a52c9cad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juventus FCof Real Madrid CF, Juventus FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,519
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Real Madrid CF | 45c | 19,999$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,999.7 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Juventus FC | 55c | 18,021$9,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,095.87 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Real Madrid CF | 38c | 2,544$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.92 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Juventus FC | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.08 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeadc…e41dbacked Juventus FC | 58c | 1,718$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Juventus FC | 67c | 1,600$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.01 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Juventus FC | 58c | 1,488$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.87 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15df…9465backed Juventus FC | 59c | 822.03$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.03 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Juventus FC | 65c | 758.06$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.8 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Real Madrid CF | 34c | 633.6$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Real Madrid CF | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Juventus FC | 60c | 324.75$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.9 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be7…8d02backed Real Madrid CF | 39c | 317.51$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Juventus FC | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ee…7501backed Real Madrid CF | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Real Madrid CF | 43c | 219.03$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1271backed Real Madrid CF | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2d…d44dbacked Juventus FC | 58c | 188$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Real Madrid CF | 43c | 173.47$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.03 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Real Madrid CF | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x390c…75b5backed Juventus FC | 71c | 140.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe852…3fe6backed Real Madrid CF | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…ae42backed Real Madrid CF | 44c | 122$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Real Madrid CF | 42c | 105.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Real Madrid CF | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Real Madrid CF | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…c716backed Real Madrid CF | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Juventus FC | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Real Madrid CF | 40c | 97.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4320…064fbacked Real Madrid CF | 45c | 95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Real Madrid CF | 37c | 91.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Real Madrid CF | 44c | 89.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Real Madrid CF | 40c | 83.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f6…8af9backed Real Madrid CF | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Real Madrid CF | 43c | 65.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf144…f2bbbacked Real Madrid CF | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff8…3011backed Real Madrid CF | 45c | 57.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Real Madrid CF | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…e208backed Real Madrid CF | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Real Madrid CF | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Real Madrid CF | 45c | 48.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Juventus FC | 57c | 46.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffcb…65febacked Real Madrid CF | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked Real Madrid CF | 34c | 45.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…b9f6backed Real Madrid CF | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…262abacked Real Madrid CF | 45c | 41.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Real Madrid CF | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…418fbacked Juventus FC | 68c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed Real Madrid CF | 45c | 31.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e2…9710backed Juventus FC | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Juventus FC | 58c | 29.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.