Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x554c690779532f03458c27d1d9ae642197fbbc6523f635635cd9500af1d2ad92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Spirit, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Team Spirit | 59c | 26,812$15,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,928.56 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Team Spirit | 46c | 22,525$10,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,407.22 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Team Liquid | 37c | 18,445$6,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,656.71 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Team Spirit | 20c | 10,339$2,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.42 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Team Liquid | 76c | 7,217$5,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.33 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Liquid | 41c | 6,252$2,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,671.48 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Team Liquid | 41c | 4,764$1,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.94 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 33c | 3,964$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.84 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Team Spirit | 20c | 3,950$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.19 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…b26dbacked Team Spirit | 73c | 3,446$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.25 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Team Spirit | 3c | 2,101$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Team Liquid | 36c | 2,086$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.87 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b5…e607backed Team Spirit | 64c | 1,557$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Team Liquid | 42c | 1,450$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Team Spirit | 53c | 1,421$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.37 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Team Spirit | 62c | 1,252$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.01 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Team Liquid | 35c | 1,167$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.83 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…99e1backed Team Spirit | 59c | 1,109$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.31 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 990.67$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.76 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Spirit | 10c | 959$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Team Spirit | 19c | 950$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Liquid | 33c | 930$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.3 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Spirit | 60c | 751.41$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…2ecdbacked Team Spirit | 25c | 738.85$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.2 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team Liquid | 42c | 705.86$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.4 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Liquid | 48c | 695$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.8 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Liquid | 41c | 684.92$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.28 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Liquid | 43c | 667.02$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.3 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff3…c17fbacked Team Liquid | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +44%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Spirit | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…d7a5backed Team Spirit | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Team Spirit | 66c | 488$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.72 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Team Liquid | 54c | 479.73$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.2 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Team Spirit | 8c | 464.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Team Spirit | 65c | 462.54$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.65 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Spirit | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Team Liquid | 34c | 400$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Liquid | 38c | 350.79$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.79 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Team Spirit | 12c | 332.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Spirit | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 289.59$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.83 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…2795backed Team Liquid | 37c | 269.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.08 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed Team Liquid | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…14adbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 262.41$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.55 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb719…dacbbacked Team Spirit | 32c | 250$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc0…5f47backed Team Spirit | 23c | 249.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…51edbacked Team Spirit | 70c | 235.74$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.18 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…d699backed Team Liquid | 44c | 220.68$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.68 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 220$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.4 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 218.75$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.25 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Team Liquid | 58c | 208.68$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.58 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 207.5$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d3…cbf2backed Team Spirit | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Liquid | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Liquid | 33c | 199.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.99 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Team Spirit | 41c | 199.97$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Team Spirit | 59c | 198$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.82 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Spirit | 32c | 195.48$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.96 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Team Spirit | 53c | 192.81$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.19 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Team Spirit | 18c | 187.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…5d10backed Team Spirit | 13c | 178.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Team Spirit | 60c | 165.28$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.23 | 218 | 51.8%113 W · 105 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Team Spirit | 65c | 161.91$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…45aebacked Team Spirit | 8c | 152.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa17…3aa2backed Team Spirit | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c7…d64fbacked Team Spirit | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 72 | 25%18 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…1494backed Team Spirit | 17c | 148.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee6f…3859backed Team Liquid | 37c | 135.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.92 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Team Liquid | 38c | 131.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.29 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b6…1765backed Team Spirit | 13c | 130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f5febacked Team Spirit | 28c | 126.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed Team Spirit | 31c | 124.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked Team Spirit | 59c | 122.61$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.06 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2477…700ebacked Team Spirit | 57c | 120$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Team Liquid | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa49…6330backed Team Liquid | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…fc02backed Team Spirit | 46c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b3…67cdbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 108.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f35…17f1backed Team Liquid | 63c | 108.12$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Team Spirit | 46c | 104.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed Team Spirit | 65c | 101.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Team Liquid | 42c | 100.88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.51 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…07a6backed Team Spirit | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Team Spirit | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a3…ab87backed Team Spirit | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…45cebacked Team Spirit | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x158f…09f1backed Team Liquid | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…158fbacked Team Liquid | 33c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf014…d442backed Team Spirit | 19c | 71.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 70.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Team Spirit | 68c | 70$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Spirit | 32c | 62.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf338…4514backed Team Liquid | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…f2ffbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 48.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47f…41f9backed Team Liquid | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Team Spirit | 67c | 46.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3)Team Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.