Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b7acd78aa5efe082ddd9dc055d59270553f47626cd9dd8676ea50ceea249319
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,709
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,709 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc350…3669backed Team Liquid | 43c | 28,808$12,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,447.17 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Team Spirit | 59c | 23,996$14,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,840.35 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Team Spirit | 58c | 11,408$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,807.45 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed Team Liquid | 42c | 10,441$4,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,344.03 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Team Spirit | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Liquid | 2c | 9,200$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Liquid | 41c | 6,195$2,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,568.07 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 43c | 5,329$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,314.06 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Team Spirit | 58c | 3,010$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.2 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Team Spirit | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Team Spirit | 60c | 2,420$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Team Liquid | 43c | 1,734$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.36 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…d7a5backed Team Liquid | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Team Liquid | 14c | 1,400$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team Spirit | 59c | 1,195$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.02 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Liquid | 36c | 1,135$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.6 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 1,134$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.44 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Team Spirit | 58c | 1,096$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.83 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b5…e607backed Team Liquid | 50c | 1,047$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.56 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…b26dbacked Team Spirit | 71c | 1,043$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.71 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca41…7f0ebacked Team Liquid | 41c | 1,014$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Team Liquid | 50c | 1,002$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked Team Liquid | 4c | 999.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Liquid | 45c | 963$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.73 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc439…3aabbacked Team Spirit | 50c | 892.43$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.22 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…4c6dbacked Team Liquid | 44c | 779.32$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Liquid | 41c | 752.05$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.34 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 740.03$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.81 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Team Spirit | 52c | 732.5$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.3 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Team Liquid | 30c | 700$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.62 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9a…28cebacked Team Liquid | 41c | 609.76$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Team Spirit | 58c | 563.81$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.22 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Team Liquid | 36c | 534.92$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.32 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…b9c0backed Team Spirit | 52c | 507.86$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.08 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Liquid | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Liquid | 44c | 450$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 408$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Spirit | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Team Spirit | 75c | 377.81$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…1271backed Team Liquid | 22c | 360$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 240 | 26.7%64 W · 176 L | -30.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaac2…df3abacked Team Liquid | 7c | 353.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Spirit | 57c | 351.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.38 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a20…42c4backed Team Liquid | 21c | 350$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Liquid | 47c | 317.02$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Liquid | 33c | 300$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd138…7058backed Team Liquid | 35c | 296.1$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Team Liquid | 42c | 286.4$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.23 | 218 | 51.8%113 W · 105 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da3…1ca0backed Team Liquid | 31c | 219.93$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Team Liquid | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d3…cbf2backed Team Spirit | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.34 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…ade8backed Team Liquid | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…2ecdbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.99 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Team Spirit | 53c | 189.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Team Spirit | 56c | 187.43$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.47 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Team Liquid | 47c | 170.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked Team Liquid | 50c | 162.42$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.21 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Team Liquid | 44c | 161.64$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Team Liquid | 44c | 158.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -7.3wins | -0.21per pick | 57cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Team Spirit | 79c | 149$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Team Liquid | 9c | 148.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa17…3aa2backed Team Spirit | 54c | 140.43$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.79 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f5febacked Team Spirit | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…74bdbacked Team Spirit | 57c | 128.06$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2495…28f5backed Team Spirit | 55c | 119.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Team Liquid | 43c | 119.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f35…17f1backed Team Liquid | 46c | 117.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x158f…09f1backed Team Liquid | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…5d10backed Team Spirit | 59c | 111.76$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Spirit | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…ee97backed Team Liquid | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…7754backed Team Spirit | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec5…d21ebacked Team Liquid | 14c | 98.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Team Liquid | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Team Liquid | 32c | 74.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46de…0dddbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 74.91$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x037c…509ebacked Team Liquid | 23c | 70.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…e095backed Team Liquid | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Team Spirit | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6113…2443backed Team Liquid | 47c | 55.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32b3…67cdbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Team Liquid | 41c | 53.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…df99backed Team Spirit | 59c | 53.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Liquid | 44c | 50.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Team Liquid | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Team Spirit | 54c | 46.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…dd82backed Team Liquid | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…14f1backed Team Spirit | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7484…de96backed Team Spirit | 57c | 43.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ad…79a8backed Team Liquid | 44c | 38.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc8…21f0backed Team Liquid | 43c | 36.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47f…41f9backed Team Spirit | 56c | 35.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…2e55backed Team Liquid | 45c | 35.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd432…b158backed Team Liquid | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x002a…6993backed Team Liquid | 44c | 23.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62b7…f260backed Team Spirit | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3)Team Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.