Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b3dbff2e75049d335b3321bcbe8dfd21d1926da71b9842193837a655efa6543
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $421,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $491,626
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $421,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 307 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Team Spirit | 62c | 32,604$20,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,452.53 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed Team Liquid | 44c | 29,595$13,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,031.27 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Team Liquid | 75c | 22,782$16,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,996.53 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Team Spirit | 36c | 22,199$8,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,151.57 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 17,650$6,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,666.34 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Team Liquid | 43c | 14,910$6,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,352.76 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Spirit | 48c | 13,832$6,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,232.4 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Liquid | 40c | 11,414$4,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,525.1 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Team Spirit | 49c | 9,576$4,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,873.46 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9609…29bdbacked Team Spirit | 37c | 9,460$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,959.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Team Spirit | 59c | 9,451$5,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,875.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Team Spirit | 62c | 8,496$5,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,225.49 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Team Liquid | 50c | 7,751$3,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,875.32 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…5d4cbacked Team Liquid | 37c | 6,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Team Liquid | 39c | 6,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Liquid | 2c | 5,825$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.61 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Spirit | 28c | 5,792$1,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,143.95 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 5,555$3,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.9 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…abc9backed Team Liquid | 38c | 5,244$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.76 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Team Spirit | 27c | 5,222$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,822.46 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Team Liquid | 38c | 5,172$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.36 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Team Spirit | 39c | 5,112$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120.74 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Team Liquid | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.97 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team Liquid | 47c | 4,226$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.95 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Team Liquid | 37c | 4,121$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.52 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Team Liquid | 53c | 3,800$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Team Spirit | 47c | 3,518$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.24 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Team Liquid | 64c | 3,454$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,210.58 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Team Liquid | 37c | 3,333$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.21 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Team Liquid | 38c | 3,231$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.6 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Team Liquid | 53c | 3,155$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.06 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed Team Spirit | 38c | 3,040$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.98 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked Team Spirit | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Team Spirit | 63c | 2,976$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.12 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Team Spirit | 63c | 2,830$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.24 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…4629backed Team Liquid | 73c | 2,652$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.93 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Spirit | 42c | 2,563$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.77 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Liquid | 66c | 2,326$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.16 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Spirit | 69c | 2,182$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.07 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Team Liquid | 38c | 2,064$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.42 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Team Spirit | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Liquid | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…b26dbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 1,943$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369.49 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Team Spirit | 42c | 1,797$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.43 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 34c | 1,789$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.35 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5341…2b42backed Team Spirit | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…4c6dbacked Team Spirit | 47c | 1,402$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc439…3aabbacked Team Liquid | 32c | 1,400$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Team Spirit | 34c | 1,370$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.69 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b94…9905backed Team Liquid | 75c | 1,355$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Team Liquid | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Spirit | 52c | 1,300$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.12 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Team Spirit | 35c | 1,286$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.71 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbc…9c20backed Team Liquid | 41c | 1,256$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Team Liquid | 37c | 1,237$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.04 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Team Spirit | 40c | 1,149$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.04 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Team Liquid | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Team Spirit | 70c | 1,014$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.56 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Team Liquid | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fac…bdd8backed Team Liquid | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Liquid | 61c | 985.62$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.5 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 976.55$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.55 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Liquid | 41c | 961.94$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 956.33$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.2 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55e…c136backed Team Spirit | 36c | 916.59$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.76 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6857…9f77backed Team Spirit | 63c | 900.76$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.76 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9a…28cebacked Team Liquid | 52c | 877.45$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.87 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed Team Liquid | 40c | 876.35$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.54 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…bd81backed Team Spirit | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff3…c17fbacked Team Spirit | 32c | 800.36$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.71 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +44%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa253…1c7ebacked Team Liquid | 41c | 767.8$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4c…e430backed Team Spirit | 40c | 760$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Team Liquid | 38c | 752.63$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Team Liquid | 75c | 703.87$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Team Spirit | 54c | 653.02$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.02 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…b9c0backed Team Liquid | 45c | 649.99$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.5 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fa…f3bebacked Team Spirit | 55c | 616.35$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.21 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Team Liquid | 38c | 610.53$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Team Liquid | 61c | 589.88$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.88 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Team Spirit | 37c | 584.87$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.04 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1448…9b9cbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 572.41$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.49 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Spirit | 36c | 560$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.4 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe35e…7754backed Team Liquid | 21c | 534.87$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.11 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Team Liquid | 56c | 531.12$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56e…453cbacked Team Spirit | 32c | 528.84$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.61 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Team Liquid | 38c | 507.89$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Team Liquid | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Team Liquid | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0e30backed Team Liquid | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 499.99$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.99 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Team Liquid | 39c | 487.83$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Team Liquid | 46c | 465$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.18 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…0abebacked Team Spirit | 33c | 418.64$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Team Liquid | 45c | 416.09$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.24 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7958…9712backed Team Liquid | 70c | 407.41$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25d…801fbacked Team Spirit | 63c | 406.38$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Team Spirit | 47c | 401.2$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.2 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Team Spirit | 50c | 400.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.4 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.