CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cb14c8a3f0da01e0f6ca8186cd908fa9521a7eeeb96b0d1457abb7bb73be290
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $222,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $255,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $222,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Spirit | 46c | 53,288$24,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,860.76 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Vitality | 54c | 37,862$20,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,445.73 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Spirit | 62c | 10,307$6,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,957.84 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Spirit | 48c | 9,819$4,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,154.16 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked Spirit | 73c | 7,885$5,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,110.24 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -12.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Vitality | 46c | 7,277$3,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,330.78 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Vitality | 40c | 6,365$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.12 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Vitality | 67c | 6,055$4,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,086.98 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84df…168bbacked Spirit | 80c | 5,382$4,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vitality | 16c | 5,053$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.07 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Vitality | 55c | 4,579$2,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,523.84 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Vitality | 12c | 3,817$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.23 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Vitality | 53c | 3,102$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.23 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…826cbacked Vitality | 27c | 3,042$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.96 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Vitality | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…d974backed Vitality | 56c | 2,628$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.73 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -18.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Vitality | 55c | 2,513$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.35 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Vitality | 60c | 2,511$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.62 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed Vitality | 45c | 2,500$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…ec4bbacked Vitality | 43c | 2,200$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.25 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…5d4cbacked Vitality | 53c | 2,012$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Spirit | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.99 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…7f58backed Spirit | 38c | 1,973$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.15 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Spirit | 38c | 1,959$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.15 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Vitality | 55c | 1,900$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…5769backed Vitality | 63c | 1,768$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.79 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Vitality | 55c | 1,650$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.5 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Vitality | 34c | 1,491$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.1 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff3…c17fbacked Vitality | 40c | 1,409$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…2625backed Spirit | 32c | 1,002$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.21 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Vitality | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…b518backed Spirit | 47c | 949.43$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.49 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Vitality | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Vitality | 41c | 649.2$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.68 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Vitality | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Vitality | 73c | 599$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.27 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…3965backed Spirit | 55c | 562.56$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.15 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Vitality | 54c | 552$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.43 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Vitality | 55c | 544$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.2 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Vitality | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Vitality | 57c | 529.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…241fbacked Vitality | 46c | 511.44$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…d048backed Vitality | 54c | 500$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.8 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Vitality | 3c | 440$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Vitality | 47c | 437.15$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.76 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3c…c600backed Vitality | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Vitality | 35c | 370$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Spirit | 69c | 366$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.46 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Vitality | 55c | 362$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.78 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2245…d89abacked Vitality | 28c | 360$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Spirit | 47c | 360$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.8 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Vitality | 29c | 346.53$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.8 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…51edbacked Spirit | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Vitality | 53c | 327$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.31 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8e…b1c7backed Spirit | 45c | 324.44$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.44 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x366f…856cbacked Vitality | 16c | 314.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Spirit | 23c | 300$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebd7…9ec4backed Spirit | 44c | 298.86$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.36 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Spirit | 35c | 297.63$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.46 | 381 | 57.7%220 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Vitality | 58c | 290$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.23 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8658…41c6backed Vitality | 77c | 286.91$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.26 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed Vitality | 21c | 285.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…b5eebacked Vitality | 36c | 282.13$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Vitality | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 107 | 29.9%32 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…cd3dbacked Spirit | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…df49backed Spirit | 46c | 218.4$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.11 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…122cbacked Spirit | 48c | 209.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.13 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Vitality | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Spirit | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Vitality | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Vitality | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Spirit | 49c | 190$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 112 | 38.4%43 W · 69 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…31b6backed Vitality | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…914abacked Vitality | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa553…3eaebacked Vitality | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Vitality | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed Spirit | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Spirit | 46c | 173.22$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Vitality | 53c | 171$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.74 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a38…82f5backed Spirit | 30c | 158.55$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.11 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb62e…543bbacked Spirit | 64c | 120$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…0d18backed Spirit | 46c | 113.56$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3706…1b99backed Spirit | 68c | 113.16$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2928…536ebacked Vitality | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…8985backed Vitality | 35c | 102.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Vitality | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe313…dbd1backed Spirit | 46c | 101.85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Vitality | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfd…15c8backed Spirit | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…9ff3backed Vitality | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10c…e0fcbacked Spirit | 47c | 86.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9f…578abacked Vitality | 32c | 86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0878…8757backed Vitality | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Vitality | 72c | 83.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Vitality | 51c | 82.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed Vitality | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Vitality | 55c | 79.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea3f…39f9backed Spirit | 47c | 78.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe030…8d5fbacked Vitality | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Spirit | 59c | 74.41$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)Vitality won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.