CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0656da3c97e8c99a1af18d2ecb5dec1fc68d4d1ca206693966d770113384cffc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 34c | 773.02$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.02 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Over | 74c | 540$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 36c | 339$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.04 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed Over | 78c | 302$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Over | 49c | 203.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.36 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 52c | 196.58$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.22 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Under | 51c | 173.47$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.47 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 47c | 173.09$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.74 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…7f7cbacked Under | 53c | 151.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…5efcbacked Under | 40c | 151$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f7…2b92backed Over | 60c | 142$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Over | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 33c | 134.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c4…7d1dbacked Under | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Over | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 53c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b7d4backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…778dbacked Over | 59c | 48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x338f…dd63backed Over | 57c | 42.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7e…cb36backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…1ab1backed Over | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2484…6dfcbacked Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…5b88backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…b5eebacked Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b7…52bebacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)Vitality won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.