TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vitalityof Spirit, Vitality
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$387,848
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$478,959

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $387,848 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa925…e1c8backed Vitality58c45,383$26,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,062.138446.4%39 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Spirit39c24,199$9,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,367.9733043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Vitality60c19,151$11,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,612.5645848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b3c…c600backed Spirit5c14,188$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.21216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-73.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b45…7f58backed Spirit27c13,871$3,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,786.093531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Spirit29c13,465$3,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,919.043,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Spirit31c10,003$3,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,135.273,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf506…83e8backed Spirit0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84df…168bbacked Spirit39c7,301$2,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,883.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Vitality62c7,268$4,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,776.2564552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed Spirit24c7,266$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76010043%43 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Spirit38c7,258$2,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,758.049942.4%42 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Vitality79c5,490$4,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.5822468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit32c5,435$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,722.591,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Spirit31c5,313$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,648.841,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3d…5d4cbacked Spirit38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9001030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Spirit32c4,999$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.6281843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7e2…826cbacked Spirit43c4,619$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.78342.2%35 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spirit23c4,397$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.031,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Spirit33c4,233$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.514,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked Spirit49c3,698$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,819.7216448.2%79 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fdf…ec4bbacked Vitality56c3,476$1,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,540.854850%24 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed Vitality68c2,789$1,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.6410748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Spirit29c2,721$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.8846949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Spirit19c2,601$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.6832425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c4…93a7backed Vitality39c2,288$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.674238.1%16 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Vitality60c1,895$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.191984.2%16 W · 3 L+4.6wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+36.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Spirit34c1,817$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.2583652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37b4…d5e5backed Vitality62c1,808$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.82147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Vitality38c1,746$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.6932348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Vitality62c1,485$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.8898052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Spirit40c1,400$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5601,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c5…61a7backed Vitality80c1,251$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x593e…8cc6backed Vitality78c1,200$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa43f…fc07backed Spirit21c1,199$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.661717.6%3 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-51.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcd5a…9042backed Spirit39c1,121$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.33633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc041…ba3fbacked Spirit2c1,035$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-66.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2af2…3965backed Vitality75c924.07$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.153348.5%16 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.15per pick63cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x640a…f359backed Spirit21c922.97$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.69250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Spirit39c875$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.255,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6bd…b05abacked Spirit33c852.85$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.3719834.8%69 W · 129 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9eea…2625backed Vitality42c827.58$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.5812641.3%52 W · 74 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Spirit15c817.13$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.1929127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc9f…45debacked Vitality62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.459341.9%39 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Spirit51c732.88$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.273228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-40%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked Spirit28c639.2$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.8714142.6%60 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Spirit39c600$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23446340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Spirit53c599$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.3258961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d80…07d4backed Vitality55c598.45$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.55352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8541…a367backed Spirit21c590.96$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.628344.2%125 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca1f…202abacked Vitality68c573.61$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.935466.7%36 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Spirit9c513$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.61,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d8e…b1c7backed Vitality65c495.05$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.624551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3cd3backed Vitality61c482.58$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.5822560.4%136 W · 89 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Vitality38c469.59$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.331,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa2b…adcfbacked Vitality62c463.16$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17617236.6%63 W · 109 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b9…1a27backed Spirit57c454.87$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-45.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x644b…2145backed Vitality36c444$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.1615749%77 W · 80 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x61e4…3030backed Vitality62c436.01$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.521747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6590…ad78backed Spirit20c424.37$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.942123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-44.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebd7…9ec4backed Spirit35c423.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Vitality53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18858651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe454…8b7dbacked Vitality78c372.5$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3915360.1%92 W · 61 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48a5…a903backed Spirit35c362$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.3911440.4%46 W · 68 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Vitality57c349.4$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.935550.1%178 W · 177 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked Spirit21c349.31$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.915738.6%22 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc759…51edbacked Vitality61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.878842%37 W · 51 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Vitality62c323.76$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.0320050.5%101 W · 99 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+37.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Spirit25c315$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5860147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83a2…9452backed Spirit15c297$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.22742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-38.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ee4…3485backed Vitality62c282.26$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.268446.4%39 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2245…d89abacked Spirit45c282$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.4630%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3647…6250backed Spirit53c262.26$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1395349.1%26 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Vitality62c254.84$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8410753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dcb…7089backed Spirit17c254.28$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.91060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbffe…0d18backed Spirit40c250.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.344827.1%13 W · 35 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2928…536ebacked Spirit9c237.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.411612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-67.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10c…e0fcbacked Spirit40c214.95$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4fcc…25e1backed Spirit47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006764.2%43 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b84…3de9backed Spirit14c204.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7970%0 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fe4…706bbacked Spirit19c203.78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.05771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick37cpaid+79.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc2e2…af35backed Spirit29c202.58$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.51825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-36.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad46…df49backed Spirit50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009631.3%30 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64e4…f533backed Vitality62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761650%8 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf98b…57bbbacked Spirit21c200$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4138157.7%220 W · 161 L-1.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x591a…aec2backed Spirit20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Vitality60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8014454.2%78 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Vitality60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73f6…dc27backed Vitality62c193.53$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.541464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7acb…8c1dbacked Spirit59c185.54$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010450%52 W · 52 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x91e8…f1abbacked Spirit6c184.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1118654.8%102 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Spirit43c167.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1411238.4%43 W · 69 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8a8…48c0backed Spirit18c163.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025251.2%129 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b3…67cdbacked Vitality39c160.81$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.72050%10 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Vitality62c159$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8336751%187 W · 180 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ba…faecbacked Vitality63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.732369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x091e…3432backed Vitality63c158.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.512850%14 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e6…53b2backed Vitality63c157.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.876050%30 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56f3…e5d3backed Spirit39c153.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa541…d860backed Spirit16c149.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+32.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.