Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe067e151fd78a0c08b37fc79bca70a09b090093bfd70de99d84d520dfd3bde88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South America Rejectsof Xtreme Gaming, South America Rejects
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $220,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 54,140$35,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,053.16 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked South America Rejects | 36c | 13,816$4,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,842.11 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed South America Rejects | 34c | 10,445$3,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,938.48 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed South America Rejects | 52c | 8,888$4,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,298.83 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Xtreme Gaming | 24c | 7,952$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.25 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…1c08backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 7,334$4,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,667.08 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 5,552$3,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,459.71 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed South America Rejects | 33c | 5,092$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,419.75 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked South America Rejects | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.99 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked South America Rejects | 34c | 4,766$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,137.17 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed South America Rejects | 61c | 4,462$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.16 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed South America Rejects | 34c | 4,291$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,832.71 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed South America Rejects | 42c | 4,247$1,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450.84 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed South America Rejects | 34c | 4,207$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756.51 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed South America Rejects | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 3,949$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.84 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked South America Rejects | 38c | 3,945$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,437.44 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked South America Rejects | 63c | 3,889$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.86 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Xtreme Gaming | 4c | 3,298$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.39 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed South America Rejects | 41c | 3,224$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.7 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…b70fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 2,898$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.25 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed South America Rejects | 40c | 2,892$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.44 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked South America Rejects | 60c | 2,667$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed South America Rejects | 59c | 2,630$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.74 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Xtreme Gaming | 20c | 2,409$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.62 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked South America Rejects | 54c | 2,149$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.27 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Xtreme Gaming | 20c | 2,065$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.33 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf311…a179backed South America Rejects | 70c | 2,009$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.34 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed South America Rejects | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 2,000$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.99 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed South America Rejects | 48c | 1,922$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.3 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25c9…6b8bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 1c | 1,881$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed South America Rejects | 36c | 1,880$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.12 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 1,790$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.02 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed South America Rejects | 47c | 1,752$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.16 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked South America Rejects | 60c | 1,718$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.37 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 22c | 1,706$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.03 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 1,651$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.32 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed South America Rejects | 57c | 1,607$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.84 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked South America Rejects | 37c | 1,565$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.09 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…c32ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 27c | 1,376$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.06 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked South America Rejects | 38c | 1,250$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed South America Rejects | 41c | 1,188$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.89 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed South America Rejects | 37c | 1,160$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.06 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed South America Rejects | 37c | 1,113$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.19 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 1,104$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.78 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed South America Rejects | 46c | 1,052$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.04 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 1,005$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.82 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed South America Rejects | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b3…f473backed South America Rejects | 39c | 999.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked South America Rejects | 36c | 999.99$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 973.85$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.44 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 967.59$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.26 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 1c | 961.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 942$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 868$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.95 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fac…1feebacked Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 849.9$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.89 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked South America Rejects | 56c | 778.69$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.46 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 745$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.55 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed South America Rejects | 37c | 699.98$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.99 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed South America Rejects | 40c | 690$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.28 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 681.05$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.56 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 631.11$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.12 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Xtreme Gaming | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…b7c1backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 592.43$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.06 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed South America Rejects | 37c | 588.78$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.64 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked South America Rejects | 37c | 580.38$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.04 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 544.25$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.09 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed South America Rejects | 37c | 537.54$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.47 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2489…ee90backed Xtreme Gaming | 20c | 532.13$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.19 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 529.56$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.86 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed South America Rejects | 35c | 528.51$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.53 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed South America Rejects | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed South America Rejects | 37c | 497.11$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.18 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 489.78$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.38 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…d235backed South America Rejects | 61c | 482.02$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.28 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed South America Rejects | 52c | 480.64$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.85 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 458.63$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.52 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 444.62$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.78 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc39c…019bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 438.9$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.06 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Xtreme Gaming | 25c | 437.88$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.57 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked South America Rejects | 76c | 395.07$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.61 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 393.8$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.91 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.48 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked South America Rejects | 59c | 343.96$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.11 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4ca5backed Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 334.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed South America Rejects | 38c | 333$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.46 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 315.23$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.44 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 311.22$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.54 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 310.69$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.55 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 310.41$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.56 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed South America Rejects | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 296.85$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.92 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 296.4$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.09 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed Xtreme Gaming | 12c | 295.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed South America Rejects | 38c | 286.31$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.51 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageSouth America Rejects won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs South America Rejects - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs South America Rejects (+1.5)South America Rejects won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.