TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, South America Rejects
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$249,800
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$259,391

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,800 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Xtreme Gaming66c69,453$46,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,452.7428748.8%140 W · 147 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed South America Rejects34c43,329$14,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,604.5471454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed Xtreme Gaming64c33,636$21,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,111.181,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed South America Rejects36c22,881$8,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,293.5889440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed South America Rejects32c13,883$4,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,480.3143344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked South America Rejects30c11,077$3,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,354.1939343.3%170 W · 223 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed South America Rejects30c8,198$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,497.981,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked South America Rejects33c8,025$2,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,611.4643049.1%211 W · 219 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Xtreme Gaming68c6,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,92015544.5%69 W · 86 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed South America Rejects7c5,944$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.0980443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Xtreme Gaming69c5,462$3,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.0227153.5%145 W · 126 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed South America Rejects34c5,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70022643.8%99 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed South America Rejects33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65029042.1%122 W · 168 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Xtreme Gaming69c5,000$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,55096557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Xtreme Gaming71c4,156$2,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.991,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed South America Rejects35c4,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40069644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45dd…c32ebacked South America Rejects14c3,387$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.154740.4%19 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed South America Rejects32c3,101$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.8530647.4%145 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7002…395cbacked South America Rejects36c3,081$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.473063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Xtreme Gaming68c2,695$1,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.4656955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Xtreme Gaming68c2,610$1,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.0834544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed South America Rejects21c2,526$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.1151751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3601…44fbbacked South America Rejects38c2,525$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.8816954.4%92 W · 77 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked South America Rejects18c2,503$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.191,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed South America Rejects13c2,496$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.241,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed South America Rejects31c2,344$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.5560349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed South America Rejects35c2,290$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.9314443.8%63 W · 81 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed Xtreme Gaming64c2,266$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.8324251.7%125 W · 117 L+21.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed South America Rejects8c2,200$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.6947046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked South America Rejects14c2,193$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.031,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked South America Rejects28c2,110$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.5667043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf311…a179backed Xtreme Gaming70c2,095$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.398100%8 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Xtreme Gaming69c2,091$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.129348.5%142 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Xtreme Gaming68c2,078$1,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66549455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a2…5639backed South America Rejects24c2,061$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.5950%0 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked South America Rejects33c2,015$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.1525147.4%119 W · 132 L+12.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed South America Rejects33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66088539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb3…b70fbacked South America Rejects2c1,936$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.422119%4 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-46.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa7b3…f473backed South America Rejects31c1,917$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.331560%9 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1193…d9c4backed South America Rejects34c1,855$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.247859%46 W · 32 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Xtreme Gaming65c1,750$1,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.519742.1%83 W · 114 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4fc9…e444backed South America Rejects33c1,700$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.913228.8%38 W · 94 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x61a5…caa6backed South America Rejects33c1,671$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.964841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Xtreme Gaming66c1,484$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.646160.7%37 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Xtreme Gaming78c1,479$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.3145061.6%277 W · 173 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c97…c97abacked South America Rejects1c1,472$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.352917.2%5 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed South America Rejects33c1,444$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.3758744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Xtreme Gaming74c1,423$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.241,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce7a…fef0backed South America Rejects1c1,410$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0819145.5%87 W · 104 L+13.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked South America Rejects1c1,387$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7937018.9%70 W · 300 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed South America Rejects31c1,359$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.1726550.6%134 W · 131 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed South America Rejects23c1,311$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.7511131.5%35 W · 76 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda91…30afbacked Xtreme Gaming63c1,301$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.421573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+48.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Xtreme Gaming68c1,219$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.8841351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed Xtreme Gaming69c1,138$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.7411154.1%60 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Xtreme Gaming66c1,082$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.8822848.2%110 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked South America Rejects33c1,018$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.9326843.7%117 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae4c…dcb9backed South America Rejects31c900$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27928549.1%140 W · 145 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed South America Rejects32c859.44$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.0230336.6%111 W · 192 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed South America Rejects31c834.91$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.8215345.8%70 W · 83 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed South America Rejects8c797.39$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.166132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Xtreme Gaming63c765.53$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.6985851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Xtreme Gaming69c754.09$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.1935951.3%184 W · 175 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed South America Rejects2c725.13$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3340051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked South America Rejects39c709.45$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.525824.1%14 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed South America Rejects33c671.86$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.7160552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed South America Rejects35c638.73$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.7572035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked South America Rejects34c624.24$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.9156542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42a9…9252backed Xtreme Gaming64c598$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.26560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed Xtreme Gaming75c583.76$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.1414751.7%76 W · 71 L+11.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Xtreme Gaming61c524.36$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.59850%49 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed South America Rejects20c516.86$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4256548%271 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed South America Rejects35c500$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.6756852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed South America Rejects36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b5…205abacked South America Rejects32c449.63$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.8831953.9%172 W · 147 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd679…9ccfbacked South America Rejects17c446.55$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.214058.6%82 W · 58 L+11.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed South America Rejects38c392.72$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.2339042.1%164 W · 226 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked South America Rejects37c383.4$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8615342.5%65 W · 88 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52aa…e5dabacked South America Rejects15c379.65$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.861353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11ea…594fbacked South America Rejects7c351.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6515942.8%68 W · 91 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3f1…8391backed Xtreme Gaming62c340$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.24035%14 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed South America Rejects33c325.1$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.220858.7%122 W · 86 L+22.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+14.4%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x9ee3…7c36backed South America Rejects28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8424131.5%76 W · 165 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92c6…95a0backed Xtreme Gaming62c290$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+124.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66a2…3538backed South America Rejects33c282.29$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.151833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed South America Rejects34c275.21$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5755147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5051…82a6backed South America Rejects37c271.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3820452.5%107 W · 97 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed South America Rejects15c267.73$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.221,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked Xtreme Gaming66c250$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8588166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed South America Rejects35c250$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.565441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked South America Rejects23c246.43$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.252,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2489…ee90backed Xtreme Gaming70c241.33$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.44643.5%20 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked South America Rejects38c222.63$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.613157.3%75 W · 56 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda91…d760backed South America Rejects21c222.27$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0717340.5%70 W · 103 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed South America Rejects34c220.92$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6564547.8%308 W · 337 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed South America Rejects13c218.72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4318356.8%104 W · 79 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6725…1bf9backed South America Rejects37c215.84$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8623838.2%91 W · 147 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed South America Rejects36c213$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6864744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c75…de96backed Xtreme Gaming71c210.51$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1622461.2%137 W · 87 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04d3…cdacbacked South America Rejects36c210$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.66631.8%21 W · 45 L-7.2wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-28.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.