Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ (BO3)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcefe97782fb77c997bf90dadc1ef2d6c00ae61b0cf490698fb61267938d480a0

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: MOUZof OG, MOUZ
Resolved: Nov 22, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $165,058
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $180,252

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,058 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb3dd…a7e0backed MOUZ	59c	38,605$22,613 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,991.93	131	55%72 W · 59 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed OG	39c	14,941$5,820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,820.39	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed MOUZ	79c	12,895$10,216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,679.03	228	48.2%110 W · 118 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed MOUZ	58c	12,684$7,357 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,327.48	276	45.3%125 W · 151 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed OG	41c	10,404$4,266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,265.64	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-3.9wins	-0.14per pick	53cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd17d…d0eebacked OG	24c	9,451$2,281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,281.4	192	46.4%89 W · 103 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked MOUZ	58c	8,848$5,104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,744.85	338	50.9%172 W · 166 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed OG	34c	7,656$2,592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,591.73	894	40.3%360 W · 534 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked OG	42c	7,221$3,058 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,058.42	100	48%48 W · 52 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09df…5ca9backed OG	41c	6,854$2,810 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,810.28	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked OG	27c	6,080$1,647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,646.63	1,821	45%820 W · 1,001 L	+33.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9609…29bdbacked OG	41c	5,122$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8523…1c9fbacked OG	21c	4,264$914 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$913.8	102	36.3%37 W · 65 L	-10.7wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe612…abc9backed OG	42c	4,209$1,768 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,767.91	62	37.1%23 W · 39 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked MOUZ	69c	3,645$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,144.73	291	60.1%175 W · 116 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a3…4ebebacked OG	39c	3,601$1,418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,417.92	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.6wins	+0.33per pick	42cpaid	+79.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed MOUZ	66c	3,597$2,369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,228.3	191	48.7%93 W · 98 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed OG	41c	3,518$1,442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,442.33	190	47.9%91 W · 99 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed MOUZ	59c	3,500$2,065 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,435	82	45.1%37 W · 45 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked OG	19c	2,987$557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$556.89	2,012	44.2%889 W · 1,123 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed MOUZ	79c	2,912$2,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$611.52	557	51.7%288 W · 269 L	+16.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31ef…9a66backed OG	42c	2,851$1,198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,197.59	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked OG	42c	2,471$1,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,037.98	118	39.8%47 W · 71 L	-7.5wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed OG	42c	2,465$1,035 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,035.3	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked MOUZ	59c	2,130$1,257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$873.4	341	46.6%159 W · 182 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed MOUZ	59c	2,064$1,217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$846.04	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	56cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed OG	14c	2,009$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.08	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked OG	33c	1,688$551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550.98	869	49%426 W · 443 L	-3.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafe8…5f44backed OG	23c	1,300$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked OG	21c	1,178$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.94	84	11.9%10 W · 74 L	-14.1wins	-0.17per pick	29cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked OG	30c	1,129$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.35	81	46.9%38 W · 43 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1bc…bd81backed MOUZ	59c	847.46$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.46	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed OG	19c	819.68$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.37	71	43.7%31 W · 40 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed OG	44c	801.63$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	476	60.7%289 W · 187 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked OG	16c	762.03$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.74	179	46.9%84 W · 95 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed OG	42c	714.29$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	73	41.1%30 W · 43 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed MOUZ	57c	700$399 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301	171	46.8%80 W · 91 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed OG	34c	694.43$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	412	48.8%201 W · 211 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed MOUZ	56c	678.57$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.57	160	50.6%81 W · 79 L	+6.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb116…940abacked MOUZ	58c	667.38$387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.3	89	50.6%45 W · 44 L	-7.3wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x987b…c14ebacked OG	14c	633.99$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a0b…0d3bbacked MOUZ	59c	620$366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.2	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed MOUZ	59c	600$354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246	206	42.2%87 W · 119 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed OG	44c	568.18$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	264	53%140 W · 124 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed MOUZ	68c	562.1$384 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.97	180	75%135 W · 45 L	+18.8wins	+0.10per pick	65cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed OG	35c	555.47$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.5	97	50.5%49 W · 48 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb066…57aebacked OG	32c	537.73$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.07	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed MOUZ	62c	525.52$326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.7	197	43.1%85 W · 112 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x064a…9c2fbacked OG	42c	523.81$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	-5.6wins	-0.09per pick	61cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ff3…c17fbacked OG	26c	517.94$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.87	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+3.6wins	+0.16per pick	29cpaid	+44%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed OG	41c	500$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	80	37.5%30 W · 50 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf548…9484backed OG	18c	500$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc5f…fc17backed MOUZ	59c	500$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ec8…5f66backed OG	41c	500$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x031d…db9dbacked OG	31c	489.25$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.66	156	53.2%83 W · 73 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x764b…d55bbacked OG	41c	483.85$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.38	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ad4…721fbacked OG	28c	469.4$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.97	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72d3…cbf2backed MOUZ	67c	467.39$313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.11	25	72%18 W · 7 L	+3.8wins	+0.15per pick	57cpaid	+24%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9a4d…7367backed OG	43c	465.33$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed OG	31c	449.98$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.5	807	42.6%344 W · 463 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd333…2a71backed OG	26c	437.95$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed OG	42c	428.57$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	647	44.4%287 W · 360 L	+13.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd19e…e997backed OG	36c	420.69$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.77	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x48ec…5872backed OG	41c	410$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.1	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb861…27ffbacked OG	32c	401.83$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	82	47.6%39 W · 43 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked OG	26c	400.15$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.69	641	23.4%150 W · 491 L	-18.6wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e0b…cd84backed MOUZ	59c	399.98$236 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.99	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	58cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd02…9de4backed OG	41c	380$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.8	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc759…51edbacked OG	41c	368.12$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	36	50%18 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x824d…1271backed OG	36c	329.99$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.2	240	26.7%64 W · 176 L	-30.5wins	-0.13per pick	39cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x5a28…41edbacked OG	20c	310.42$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	213	50.7%108 W · 105 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfbb…55b0backed OG	21c	285.57$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.97	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-3.4wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb62e…543bbacked OG	18c	271.37$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.93	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.12per pick	54cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7abc…c360backed OG	9c	266.67$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e84…858fbacked MOUZ	59c	260$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.6	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+54.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf338…4514backed MOUZ	59c	254.24$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.24	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5bc…a233backed OG	23c	251.49$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.99	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	25cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd138…7058backed OG	41c	243.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	115	51.3%59 W · 56 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed OG	41c	243.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	224	53.1%119 W · 105 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x994b…5495backed OG	41c	243.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a9c…7fa0backed OG	10c	240$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.74	53	35.8%19 W · 34 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5da4…422bbacked OG	42c	239.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.42	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf41c…8e95backed OG	42c	238.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked OG	42c	238.1$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	71	57.7%41 W · 30 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed OG	21c	232.48$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.82	140	39.3%55 W · 85 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1fa…f3bebacked MOUZ	76c	231.35$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.14	134	50.7%68 W · 66 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31e1…896fbacked OG	37c	227.51$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.25	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.26per pick	46cpaid	-64.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked OG	21c	227.14$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.7	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd2…a1fdbacked OG	41c	224.09$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.88	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed OG	18c	216.37$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.56	626	50.5%316 W · 310 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb38c…74bdbacked OG	33c	214.72$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+18.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c64…c336backed OG	7c	206.79$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	98	52%51 W · 47 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-15%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed OG	18c	200$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	108	50%54 W · 54 L	+8.7wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ab6…bf68backed MOUZ	60c	200$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.15per pick	51cpaid	+34%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b36…cd58backed OG	41c	200$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed OG	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-7.3wins	-0.21per pick	57cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked OG	42c	193.43$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.24	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-3.2wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed MOUZ	59c	179.97$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.79	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3a3…d89bbacked MOUZ	58c	173$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.66	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1406…7683backed OG	16c	171.5$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.44	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+65.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ (BO3)this page
Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ (BO3)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event