Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa147d274f277aea64d9c947f9213a8624e88afeec518134af1b40a74dd775b71

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: MOUZof OG, MOUZ
Resolved: Nov 22, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $179,431
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $195,168

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,431 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa925…e1c8backed OG	46c	28,800$13,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,116	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed MOUZ	55c	27,826$15,421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,405.8	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-4.5wins	-0.14per pick	53cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xac0d…b006backed MOUZ	59c	21,041$12,314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,726.33	106	61.3%65 W · 41 L	+10.4wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked OG	39c	14,364$5,563 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,563.36	158	52.5%83 W · 75 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed OG	3c	7,590$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.26	804	43.9%353 W · 451 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3d…5d4cbacked OG	44c	6,000$2,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,640	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	37cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed OG	37c	5,313$1,949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,948.6	451	39.2%177 W · 274 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed OG	41c	5,000$2,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,026.45	190	47.9%91 W · 99 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ	51c	4,490$2,276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,213.53	1,821	45%820 W · 1,001 L	+33.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked OG	66c	4,085$2,702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,701.65	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	-7.9wins	-0.14per pick	72cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed OG	43c	2,397$1,031 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,030.69	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ff3…c17fbacked OG	9c	2,217$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+3.6wins	+0.16per pick	29cpaid	+44%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$940.02	894	40.3%360 W · 534 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25ed…6ac6backed MOUZ	53c	1,905$1,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$895.35	78	55.1%43 W · 35 L	+6.7wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2a0…d7a5backed OG	29c	1,550$453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.41	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed OG	40c	1,496$601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600.66	476	60.7%289 W · 187 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24b5…e607backed MOUZ	64c	1,494$956 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$538.11	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-4.3wins	-0.16per pick	53cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked MOUZ	56c	1,478$826 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$651.58	109	41.3%45 W · 64 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed OG	44c	1,337$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588.38	283	41%116 W · 167 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43b3…6193backed MOUZ	37c	1,142$424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$717.86	97	56.7%55 W · 42 L	+9.5wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed MOUZ	70c	1,050$736 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.59	234	65%152 W · 82 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed OG	36c	1,000$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.07	128	51.6%66 W · 62 L	-9.8wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c64…c336backed OG	30c	856.25$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.55	98	52%51 W · 47 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-15%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked OG	20c	826.28$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.2	380	49.2%187 W · 193 L	+13.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+168.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ	57c	809.6$464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$345.96	2,012	44.2%889 W · 1,123 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe35e…7754backed OG	7c	770$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.5	49	57.1%28 W · 21 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed MOUZ	62c	749.47$463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.6	103	40.8%42 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed OG	35c	715$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.36	626	50.5%316 W · 310 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed OG	39c	700$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273	536	52.6%282 W · 254 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked OG	30c	674.62$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.25	84	11.9%10 W · 74 L	-14.1wins	-0.17per pick	29cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed OG	19c	629.66$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.01	97	50.5%49 W · 48 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9a…28cebacked OG	42c	579.06$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x758f…dfb7backed MOUZ	77c	517.66$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.66	346	67.9%235 W · 111 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	65cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked MOUZ	42c	469$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.86	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked MOUZ	66c	425.43$282 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.7	100	48%48 W · 52 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b52…45aebacked OG	12c	410$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.2	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x031d…db9dbacked OG	34c	360$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.31	156	53.2%83 W · 73 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x824d…1271backed OG	10c	355$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.95	240	26.7%64 W · 176 L	-30.5wins	-0.13per pick	39cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed OG	59c	350$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.69	592	50.5%299 W · 293 L	-20.7wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed MOUZ	60c	339.5$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.8	315	45.4%143 W · 172 L	-19.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed OG	75c	336.64$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.48	568	48.8%277 W · 291 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb861…27ffbacked OG	33c	334.17$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	82	47.6%39 W · 43 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…b518backed MOUZ	61c	329.72$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.72	39	64.1%25 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9055…756abacked OG	44c	329.33$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.66	119	60.5%72 W · 47 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed MOUZ	53c	325.93$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.63	275	48%132 W · 143 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72d3…cbf2backed MOUZ	56c	323.27$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.71	25	72%18 W · 7 L	+3.8wins	+0.15per pick	57cpaid	+24%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb1a1…dd34backed MOUZ	63c	306.93$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.47	198	56.1%111 W · 87 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ffc…8967backed MOUZ	49c	300$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.43	220	33.6%74 W · 146 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed MOUZ	33c	300$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201	641	49.9%320 W · 321 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb820…ad71backed OG	53c	283.02$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-2.1wins	-0.41per pick	61cpaid	-63.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc759…51edbacked OG	40c	250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	36	50%18 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x040f…e98cbacked MOUZ	63c	247.52$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.11	60	46.7%28 W · 32 L	-5.0wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x04e5…b8ffbacked MOUZ	64c	234.81$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.53	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee6f…3859backed MOUZ	64c	188.14$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.14	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+4.6wins	+0.26per pick	47cpaid	+48.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed OG	23c	182.13$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.43	179	50.3%90 W · 89 L	+14.7wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed MOUZ	56c	178.57$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.57	81	60.5%49 W · 32 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32eb…0c1bbacked MOUZ	57c	175.44$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.44	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+6.3wins	+0.15per pick	42cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3a37…869bbacked MOUZ	57c	175.44$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.44	52	61.5%32 W · 20 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x158f…09f1backed MOUZ	57c	175.44$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.44	49	42.9%21 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed MOUZ	67c	173.01$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.9	218	51.8%113 W · 105 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bae…14adbacked MOUZ	61c	170$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.3	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed OG	20c	170$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x091e…3432backed OG	39c	166.23$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.83	114	52.6%60 W · 54 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked OG	34c	161.29$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.11	80	66.3%53 W · 27 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd138…7058backed MOUZ	64c	156.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.67	115	51.3%59 W · 56 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d60…be72backed MOUZ	64c	150.4$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.4	199	49.2%98 W · 101 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30d1…2ecdbacked MOUZ	57c	150$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.5	125	33.6%42 W · 83 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed MOUZ	57c	125.25$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.09	726	37.5%272 W · 454 L	+3.4wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa188…3fccbacked MOUZ	80c	125$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	49	67.3%33 W · 16 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2108…9abdbacked OG	38c	122.48$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.54	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3de…2e55backed OG	77c	117.74$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.4	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	65cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x217f…5d10backed OG	25c	116.06$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.02	91	28.6%26 W · 65 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked OG	47c	115$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.95	552	51.6%285 W · 267 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dc0…5f47backed OG	20c	110$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.9	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	+3.3wins	+0.09per pick	35cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb719…dacbbacked OG	20c	105.92$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.18	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+4.1wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3103…d804backed OG	15c	102.17$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.85	86	27.9%24 W · 62 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b3…67cdbacked OG	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+3.9wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+38.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed OG	40c	100$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	876	45.7%400 W · 476 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked OG	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a50…6c6bbacked OG	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked MOUZ	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	81	46.9%38 W · 43 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed MOUZ	51c	98.1$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.1	737	43.6%321 W · 416 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c6…a111backed OG	39c	96.25$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	32	75%24 W · 8 L	+3.2wins	+0.10per pick	65cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fd8…a5bebacked OG	40c	90.68$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	203	39.9%81 W · 122 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x197b…7477backed OG	45c	88.04$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	66	33.3%22 W · 44 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd47f…41f9backed MOUZ	58c	85.61$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.61	50	50%25 W · 25 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5da4…422bbacked MOUZ	59c	77$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.57	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea3a…8297backed MOUZ	52c	76.47$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.47	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.25per pick	47cpaid	+70.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3de…f2ffbacked OG	37c	76$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.12	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd352…07a6backed MOUZ	57c	72.63$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.53	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	+3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd630…fa11backed MOUZ	56c	71.43$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.43	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.3wins	+0.25per pick	55cpaid	+58.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3034…4dc7backed MOUZ	67c	70.14$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.14	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.50per pick	50cpaid	+128.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ	61c	70$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.3	869	49%426 W · 443 L	-3.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed OG	62c	64.94$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	236	50.4%119 W · 117 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ad…79a8backed MOUZ	54c	64.83$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.83	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+3.9wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x66a3…ab87backed OG	32c	62.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf43f…54a6backed OG	34c	61.88$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.83	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x037c…509ebacked OG	45c	60.44$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.2	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f87…4d9dbacked MOUZ	68c	60$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.4	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae2…356bbacked OG	24c	50.79$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	32	50%16 W · 16 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ (BO3)MOUZ won
Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event