CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c4d8b20084f85032be4e51dbc3d28820819ce66ba720f8be9b1f8ac208b0475
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Spirit, Team Falcons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Spirit | 39c | 3,762$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons | 61c | 3,656$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.94 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed Team Falcons | 42c | 2,541$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.08 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit | 17c | 2,341$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.6 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed Team Falcons | 65c | 2,227$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.22 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…b0f3backed Spirit | 52c | 2,220$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.49 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Falcons | 54c | 2,035$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.8 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Spirit | 57c | 1,751$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Spirit | 43c | 1,501$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.3 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Falcons | 58c | 1,216$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.53 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Spirit | 50c | 1,200$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.85 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…bee6backed Team Falcons | 42c | 1,182$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Spirit | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Falcons | 61c | 715.65$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.75 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8e…b1c7backed Spirit | 47c | 639.4$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71a…e4e2backed Spirit | 55c | 544.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Falcons | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…6ac6backed Team Falcons | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…7f58backed Team Falcons | 59c | 499.99$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Spirit | 35c | 463.89$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.56 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Spirit | 42c | 444.36$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.29 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…e0e1backed Spirit | 39c | 351.57$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…869bbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Team Falcons | 80c | 344$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b0…4f5cbacked Spirit | 40c | 338.9$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.56 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…df49backed Spirit | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4d…757fbacked Spirit | 63c | 237.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb921…6918backed Spirit | 49c | 219.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced3…ce6bbacked Spirit | 42c | 212.5$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…6a3dbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 187.97$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Team Falcons | 69c | 181.2$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…e8e4backed Team Falcons | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Spirit | 36c | 165.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Spirit | 34c | 157.45$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 211 | 39.3%83 W · 128 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Spirit | 42c | 154.54$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.09 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Spirit | 23c | 128.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Team Falcons | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Spirit | 42c | 119.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…e48fbacked Spirit | 24c | 103.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…e547backed Spirit | 42c | 94.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.35per pick | 43cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc7db…35bdbacked Team Falcons | 39c | 92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.34 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x029b…1b79backed Team Falcons | 53c | 86.36$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…d048backed Team Falcons | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f78…b642backed Spirit | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9f…578abacked Team Falcons | 19c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a2…c111backed Spirit | 30c | 59.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Team Falcons | 65c | 58.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked Spirit | 38c | 52.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 172 | 36.6%63 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…8d13backed Spirit | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Team Falcons | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 213 | 43.7%93 W · 120 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Spirit | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0878…8757backed Spirit | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e41…dab5backed Spirit | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed Team Falcons | 44c | 48.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked Spirit | 38c | 43.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…dfa4backed Team Falcons | 54c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…5d10backed Team Falcons | 50c | 27.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…a6e7backed Spirit | 40c | 27.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd140…bbbdbacked Team Falcons | 58c | 25.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…8184backed Spirit | 45c | 25.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2541…10a8backed Team Falcons | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…1b46backed Team Falcons | 79c | 21.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…8985backed Spirit | 71c | 21.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed Team Falcons | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aff…8427backed Spirit | 67c | 18.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7d…ac4bbacked Team Falcons | 64c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)Team Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.