TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof Spirit, Team Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,247
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,873

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,247 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3151…0977backed Spirit32c7,813$2,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,463.631984.2%16 W · 3 L+4.6wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+36.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x86f8…b0f3backed Team Falcons62c3,805$2,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.972142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Spirit40c3,296$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.4823852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6775…17efbacked Team Falcons61c3,279$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.69540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Team Falcons60c3,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20046949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Spirit38c2,635$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.2981843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons77c2,413$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.643,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Spirit18c1,925$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.253,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Spirit27c1,882$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.081,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Spirit27c1,725$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460.944,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Spirit38c1,567$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.49933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Team Falcons60c1,400$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56024935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b45…7f58backed Team Falcons77c967.05$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.893531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Falcons58c916.14$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.781,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7db…35bdbacked Spirit19c649.16$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1253339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Spirit15c546.4$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.645,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Team Falcons55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22546340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e0…8224backed Spirit40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003964.1%25 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xad46…df49backed Spirit40c491.28$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.519631.3%30 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d8e…b1c7backed Team Falcons62c486.15$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.744551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x235e…da5abacked Spirit21c467.57$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.19837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd25b…dd82backed Spirit28c392.19$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Team Falcons60c391.67$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.676451.6%33 W · 31 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Spirit40c370$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14898052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bd5…81b0backed Spirit40c320.65$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.263327.3%9 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06b7…5479backed Team Falcons80c313.03$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.12250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-37.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4c6…e547backed Spirit40c304.2$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.68137.7%1 W · 12 L-4.5wins-0.35per pick43cpaid-77.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x3a37…869bbacked Team Falcons61c299.2$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.697552%39 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b6…8745backed Team Falcons75c290$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Spirit17c260$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.71,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x258b…7859backed Spirit15c198.06$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.37683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Team Falcons61c195$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.0526563%167 W · 98 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6590…ad78backed Spirit9c195$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.342123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-44.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Team Falcons59c173$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.931,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Spirit41c173$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9397230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed88…6a3dbacked Team Falcons64c164.22$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.223847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9eea…2625backed Team Falcons61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9312641.3%52 W · 74 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf4d…757fbacked Team Falcons61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.932638.5%10 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef1a…d048backed Team Falcons60c157.73$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0911558.3%67 W · 48 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29bf…70fcbacked Spirit25c149.98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.51030%3 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-48.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x217f…5d10backed Spirit14c139.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.14827.1%13 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a2…c111backed Spirit10c130$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135731.6%18 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb921…6918backed Spirit20c124.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick30cpaid-61.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7580…e48fbacked Spirit21c109$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8140%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34b7…36e8backed Spirit29c103.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301520%3 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…1b46backed Spirit31c101.13$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.79759.8%58 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Spirit40c100.13$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0532548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2a…e0d7backed Spirit40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4021141.7%88 W · 123 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43b3…6193backed Spirit39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x619f…fc43backed Spirit25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-51.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51e6…80d2backed Team Falcons60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4015642.3%66 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb84d…aaadbacked Spirit25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-68.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed Team Falcons63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.557647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4731…cba8backed Team Falcons60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4010055%55 W · 45 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x98b7…4947backed Spirit16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.783030%9 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked Team Falcons71c99.27$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2725070.8%177 W · 73 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Spirit16c91.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.81,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Team Falcons57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7213646.3%63 W · 73 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x154c…658ebacked Spirit21c84.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.143333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-47.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2983…59d1backed Spirit40c75.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0214544.8%65 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x364e…1996backed Team Falcons70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.435754.4%31 W · 26 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick64cpaid+0.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Spirit33c70$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.821343.7%93 W · 120 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked Team Falcons79c69.45$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3347055.7%262 W · 208 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f78…b642backed Spirit22c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.25044%22 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Team Falcons54c59.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.61,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons78c55.66$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.181,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa639…2125backed Spirit46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca2…f018backed Team Falcons62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.323063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed Team Falcons59c40.24$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.54862.5%30 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf186…a2b7backed Team Falcons62c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.21450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9f…578abacked Team Falcons62c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.213044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe9a…cf52backed Team Falcons61c39.34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.342540%10 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Team Falcons61c38.43$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9918443.5%80 W · 104 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x675d…8f7abacked Team Falcons60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.331145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b4b…e273backed Team Falcons56c30.36$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad3b…7bf1backed Team Falcons56c30.29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.333100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x047a…941ebacked Spirit38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.47136.6%26 W · 45 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed Spirit40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103013.3%4 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-36.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5a8…4f81backed Team Falcons56c23.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.213100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb069…b3f8backed Team Falcons72c20.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.94475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f5f…e7f9backed Team Falcons60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85236.5%19 W · 33 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-33.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6bbc…c03cbacked Team Falcons78c19.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.222661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Team Falcons70c18.32$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.4619448.5%94 W · 100 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.