Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe9cd3fc4f0ba7998a62cb191771083c8331bff69c0a2c18c4d8c445997264d2

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: MOUZof MOUZ, Heroic
Resolved: Nov 21, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $137,011
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $172,403

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,011 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa925…e1c8backed MOUZ	56c	20,472$11,419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,052.62	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f76…3e05backed Heroic	52c	15,581$8,096 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,096.42	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked Heroic	61c	15,276$9,391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,391.26	158	52.5%83 W · 75 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked MOUZ	47c	8,890$4,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,669.65	100	48%48 W · 52 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa5ad…be8cbacked Heroic	45c	8,875$4,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,027.1	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-2.9wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked Heroic	2c	7,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-73.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ	52c	6,404$3,348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,056.06	1,821	45%820 W · 1,001 L	+33.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25ed…6ac6backed Heroic	44c	6,233$2,742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,742.45	78	55.1%43 W · 35 L	+6.7wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked MOUZ	69c	4,334$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,334.19	410	55.6%228 W · 182 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb78f…3a77backed MOUZ	52c	3,214$1,671 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,542.83	42	64.3%27 W · 15 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ	39c	3,057$1,177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,879.48	2,012	44.2%889 W · 1,123 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…51ebbacked Heroic	39c	3,045$1,189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,189.08	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	42cpaid	-77.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x31b5…6128backed MOUZ	65c	2,196$1,424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$771.54	180	75%135 W · 45 L	+18.8wins	+0.10per pick	65cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ	54c	2,184$1,173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,011.49	894	40.3%360 W · 534 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b48…4705backed Heroic	44c	2,000$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880	68	54.4%37 W · 31 L	+7.6wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+30%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Heroic	45c	2,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20a5…de1bbacked MOUZ	48c	1,960$941 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,019.15	53	58.5%31 W · 22 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed Heroic	19c	1,674$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.21	190	47.9%91 W · 99 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd17d…d0eebacked MOUZ	50c	1,434$712 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$721.93	192	46.4%89 W · 103 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed MOUZ	53c	1,364$724 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$639.75	234	65%152 W · 82 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3db3…932fbacked MOUZ	56c	1,250$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$550	161	49.7%80 W · 81 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b5c…99e1backed MOUZ	56c	1,176$659 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$517.44	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec2…e3fbbacked Heroic	47c	1,085$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.82	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Heroic	47c	1,050$497 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.49	557	51.7%288 W · 269 L	+16.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…56acbacked Heroic	47c	1,043$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.34	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5276…74ddbacked MOUZ	48c	1,042$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.67	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+76.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed MOUZ	48c	1,025$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$535.18	568	48.8%277 W · 291 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Heroic	56c	1,002$561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$561.02	536	52.6%282 W · 254 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed MOUZ	40c	899.62$358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$542.01	179	50.3%90 W · 89 L	+14.7wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed MOUZ	46c	859.91$392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$468.17	804	43.9%353 W · 451 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Heroic	44c	762.69$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.72	283	41%116 W · 167 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32eb…0c1bbacked Heroic	48c	629.15$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+6.3wins	+0.15per pick	42cpaid	+37.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked MOUZ	32c	600$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408	380	49.2%187 W · 193 L	+13.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+168.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c64…c336backed MOUZ	46c	589.26$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.42	98	52%51 W · 47 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-15%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Heroic	67c	529.99$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.29	592	50.5%299 W · 293 L	-20.7wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1448…9b9cbacked MOUZ	48c	523.05$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$273.05	132	62.9%83 W · 49 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2917…be8fbacked MOUZ	40c	503.03$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$303.03	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+2.0wins	+0.18per pick	36cpaid	+64%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed MOUZ	46c	434.78$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.78	641	49.9%320 W · 321 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Heroic	56c	426.79$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$239	179	46.9%84 W · 95 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x091e…3432backed MOUZ	47c	425.53$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.53	114	52.6%60 W · 54 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8287…059ebacked MOUZ	49c	404.48$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.33	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.23per pick	47cpaid	+62.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed MOUZ	78c	355$278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.63	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-7.3wins	-0.21per pick	57cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x3a37…869bbacked MOUZ	47c	341.19$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.83	52	61.5%32 W · 20 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb99…5d0fbacked MOUZ	55c	290.74$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.83	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…b518backed MOUZ	55c	272.73$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.73	39	64.1%25 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac0d…b006backed Heroic	49c	263.61$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.1	106	61.3%65 W · 41 L	+10.4wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+18.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x43ac…86d0backed Heroic	79c	251.62$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.37	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6aed…eb43backed MOUZ	55c	250.91$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.91	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	57cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee6f…3859backed MOUZ	53c	233.96$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.96	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+4.6wins	+0.26per pick	47cpaid	+48.7%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Heroic	53c	223.64$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.53	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-4.0wins	-0.14per pick	45cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed MOUZ	43c	217.94$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.52	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed MOUZ	27c	200$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146	171	46.8%80 W · 91 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Heroic	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	315	45.4%143 W · 172 L	-19.2wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd4a…4e5ebacked Heroic	54c	198.49$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.65	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x758f…dfb7backed Heroic	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	346	67.9%235 W · 111 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	65cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f35…17f1backed Heroic	46c	183.86$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.32	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-3.6wins	-0.21per pick	45cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed MOUZ	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	81	60.5%49 W · 32 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed MOUZ	56c	171$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.24	464	51.5%239 W · 225 L	-12.1wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Heroic	31c	162.06$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	344	43.9%151 W · 193 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Heroic	78c	160.17$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	476	60.7%289 W · 187 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked Heroic	77c	129.45$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	353	70%247 W · 106 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	69cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked MOUZ	36c	128.02$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.57	641	23.4%150 W · 491 L	-18.6wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed Heroic	42c	126.65$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.34	103	40.8%42 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x217f…5d10backed Heroic	9c	122.15$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.35	91	28.6%26 W · 65 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked MOUZ	47c	113.63$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.75	80	66.3%53 W · 27 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaac2…df3abacked Heroic	14c	107.14$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	49	36.7%18 W · 31 L	-4.1wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb820…ad71backed Heroic	75c	100$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-2.1wins	-0.41per pick	61cpaid	-63.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6bdc…1669backed Heroic	57c	100$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77cf…4a81backed MOUZ	42c	99.99$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.39	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad25…5473backed Heroic	52c	99.98$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.99	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed MOUZ	45c	98.82$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.82	236	50.4%119 W · 117 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ	42c	97.39$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.67	869	49%426 W · 443 L	-3.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x250f…7c54backed MOUZ	48c	92.71$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.13	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked MOUZ	54c	92.59$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	90	54.4%49 W · 41 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ee1…d58cbacked MOUZ	53c	92.36$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.41	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+71.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41c…8e95backed Heroic	48c	90.1$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.25	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b3…67cdbacked MOUZ	47c	85.11$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.11	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+3.9wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+38.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5f3e…f77fbacked MOUZ	55c	83.64$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.64	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2477…700ebacked MOUZ	49c	80$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.8	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb719…dacbbacked MOUZ	30c	80$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+4.1wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d60…be72backed MOUZ	49c	78.86$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.22	199	49.2%98 W · 101 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcba…4d0bbacked MOUZ	57c	78.53$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.77	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+75.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Heroic	48c	75.89$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.18	858	51.3%440 W · 418 L	+30.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3b9…c68cbacked MOUZ	55c	72$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.4	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked MOUZ	48c	70.48$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.65	87	51.7%45 W · 42 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	58cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2011…f296backed MOUZ	28c	69.98$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.39	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+2.7wins	+0.15per pick	57cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x66a3…ab87backed MOUZ	48c	62.5$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed MOUZ	25c	60$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	170	23.5%40 W · 130 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62b7…f260backed MOUZ	49c	55.94$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.53	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd9ad…79a8backed Heroic	22c	53.73$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+3.9wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0cd0…0e01backed Heroic	40c	50$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	58	37.9%22 W · 36 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Heroic	53c	47.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	48	64.6%31 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe564…e530backed MOUZ	50c	46.22$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.22	28	64.3%18 W · 10 L	+2.3wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdcf…71cfbacked MOUZ	65c	44.57$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-37%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x037c…509ebacked Heroic	41c	44.14$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf43f…54a6backed Heroic	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd19e…e997backed Heroic	48c	41.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaecc…eb20backed MOUZ	50c	41.28$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.69	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+105.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x047a…941ebacked MOUZ	43c	40$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.8	236	40.7%96 W · 140 L	-10.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86d4…b908backed MOUZ	55c	39.25$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.66	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3)MOUZ won
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event