Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab4c333914a9ec2cd9d890a73edfbc6d0b26e3e01d989d3d76e233fd549443c3

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: MOUZof MOUZ, Heroic
Resolved: Nov 21, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $154,563
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $192,468

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,563 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa925…e1c8backed MOUZ	57c	18,687$10,634 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,053.06	39	53.8%21 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Heroic	43c	15,071$6,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,540.01	125	60%75 W · 50 L	+7.6wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Heroic	42c	11,000$4,670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,669.97	276	45.3%125 W · 151 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked MOUZ	56c	6,000$3,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,639.98	338	50.9%172 W · 166 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Heroic	43c	5,555$2,389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,388.63	168	42.9%72 W · 96 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ab…f2c3backed MOUZ	58c	5,178$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,178.4	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+72.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6260…fccbbacked Heroic	2c	5,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-73.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd17d…d0eebacked MOUZ	57c	4,580$2,589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,991.2	192	46.4%89 W · 103 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Heroic	45c	3,778$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700	82	45.1%37 W · 45 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb116…940abacked MOUZ	56c	3,612$2,036 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,575.82	89	50.6%45 W · 44 L	-7.3wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Heroic	45c	3,470$1,566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,566.23	191	48.7%93 W · 98 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed MOUZ	56c	3,393$1,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,492.92	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	57cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Heroic	43c	3,196$1,366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,366.43	160	50.6%81 W · 79 L	+6.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed MOUZ	78c	3,021$2,355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$666.01	626	50.5%316 W · 310 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Heroic	44c	3,000$1,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,320	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Heroic	44c	2,700$1,188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,187.86	133	46.6%62 W · 71 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8639…ee97backed Heroic	4c	2,620$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.2	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Heroic	45c	2,310$1,033 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,033.18	109	41.3%45 W · 64 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked MOUZ	54c	2,300$1,252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,047.68	100	48%48 W · 52 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe612…abc9backed Heroic	44c	2,273$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	62	37.1%23 W · 39 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Heroic	44c	2,046$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900.24	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-3.8wins	-0.12per pick	60cpaid	-27%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5341…2b42backed MOUZ	58c	1,902$1,110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$792.34	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed Heroic	43c	1,850$804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$804.29	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22a9…ef69backed MOUZ	56c	1,799$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$798.68	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked MOUZ	56c	1,781$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$781.15	291	60.1%175 W · 116 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Heroic	29c	1,538$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.62	84	11.9%10 W · 74 L	-14.1wins	-0.17per pick	29cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Heroic	41c	1,500$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$615	399	36.8%147 W · 252 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1034…b26dbacked MOUZ	59c	1,500$885 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$615	71	46.5%33 W · 38 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae8d…210fbacked MOUZ	57c	1,454$829 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$625.39	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Heroic	41c	1,443$590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589.69	2,012	44.2%889 W · 1,123 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed MOUZ	56c	1,300$731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$568.99	123	51.2%63 W · 60 L	-7.0wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1bc…bd81backed MOUZ	61c	1,216$736 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$479.84	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Heroic	45c	1,200$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	491	33.6%165 W · 326 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafe8…5f44backed Heroic	25c	1,105$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.55	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked MOUZ	56c	1,076$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$476.05	115	57.4%66 W · 49 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed MOUZ	68c	1,023$697 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$326.74	234	65%152 W · 82 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb569…5695backed Heroic	9c	1,019$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.48	190	47.9%91 W · 99 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Heroic	44c	1,000$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435	894	40.3%360 W · 534 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked Heroic	42c	1,000$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	18	50%9 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed Heroic	44c	983.92$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.93	55	58.2%32 W · 23 L	+7.2wins	+0.13per pick	45cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Heroic	52c	960.63$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Heroic	43c	959.35$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.49	118	55.1%65 W · 53 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc65…96c8backed Heroic	43c	917.42$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.49	73	41.1%30 W · 43 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a3…4ebebacked Heroic	45c	912.32$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.6wins	+0.33per pick	42cpaid	+79.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Heroic	12c	883.26$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.66	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-7.3wins	-0.21per pick	57cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x3db3…932fbacked MOUZ	58c	862.07$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362.07	161	49.7%80 W · 81 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked MOUZ	70c	804.32$561 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.61	869	49%426 W · 443 L	-3.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b48…4705backed Heroic	21c	800$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	68	54.4%37 W · 31 L	+7.6wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+30%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Heroic	39c	761.96$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Heroic	28c	721.07$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	235	29.4%69 W · 166 L	-21.5wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc3f5…32aebacked MOUZ	56c	719.98$403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.79	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	63cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…1443backed MOUZ	56c	714.29$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.29	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed MOUZ	66c	713.27$471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.95	103	40.8%42 W · 61 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33f1…f95fbacked MOUZ	57c	701.75$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.75	24	66.7%16 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff3…c17fbacked Heroic	27c	700$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+3.6wins	+0.16per pick	29cpaid	+44%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbb4b…ab60backed MOUZ	57c	680.7$388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292.7	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	49cpaid	+45.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Heroic	6c	663$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.87	616	9.7%60 W · 556 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc6…dfe9backed MOUZ	57c	638.6$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$274.6	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.30per pick	63cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6857…9f77backed Heroic	26c	583.78$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ce3…3bc3backed MOUZ	73c	555.78$403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.42	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Heroic	38c	530.81$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	107	45.8%49 W · 58 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e1…ee5abacked MOUZ	79c	506.92$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.92	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	73cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Heroic	20c	499.98$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	71	43.7%31 W · 40 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a68…6525backed Heroic	24c	466.36$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed Heroic	29c	441.82$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.12	179	50.3%90 W · 89 L	+14.7wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Heroic	45c	433.01$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.13	805	44.6%359 W · 446 L	-25.8wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…c04ebacked Heroic	12c	430.31$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.38	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Heroic	43c	423.54$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181	91	26.4%24 W · 67 L	-9.8wins	-0.11per pick	37cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked MOUZ	76c	414.47$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.47	63	50.8%32 W · 31 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b4f…7f84backed MOUZ	56c	400$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+78.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e0b…cd84backed MOUZ	55c	400$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	58cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd979…6f8abacked Heroic	44c	400$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4a3…0abebacked Heroic	31c	400$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed MOUZ	69c	359.27$247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.32	145	37.2%54 W · 91 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e5e…67c5backed Heroic	25c	329.76$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82	140	39.3%55 W · 85 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f9…cf34backed MOUZ	78c	329.44$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.02	186	61.8%115 W · 71 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	66cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x758f…dfb7backed MOUZ	63c	319.47$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.47	346	67.9%235 W · 111 L	+9.0wins	+0.03per pick	65cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…34f7backed Heroic	17c	306.97$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.07	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-39%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Heroic	26c	300.86$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.85	641	23.4%150 W · 491 L	-18.6wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7acb…8c1dbacked Heroic	27c	280.59$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.92	96	61.5%59 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8dfe…9ff6backed MOUZ	80c	275.29$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.29	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd2…a1fdbacked MOUZ	56c	267.85$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.85	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa188…3fccbacked Heroic	39c	253.59$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.07	49	67.3%33 W · 16 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked MOUZ	79c	251.67$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.67	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-4.0wins	-0.23per pick	70cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Heroic	33c	250.42$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.1	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25ed…6ac6backed Heroic	30c	239.34$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.67	78	55.1%43 W · 35 L	+6.7wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Heroic	43c	234.37$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	108	50%54 W · 54 L	+8.7wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed MOUZ	63c	230.26$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.66	106	59.4%63 W · 43 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Heroic	43c	200$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	73	45.2%33 W · 40 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaac2…df3abacked Heroic	45c	200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	49	36.7%18 W · 31 L	-4.1wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Heroic	45c	200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	341	54.5%186 W · 155 L	+15.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed MOUZ	55c	199.99$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	807	42.6%344 W · 463 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ed…3ae6backed Heroic	31c	198.92$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.04	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24db…1332backed Heroic	33c	180$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.4	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked MOUZ	56c	179.63$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.62	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed MOUZ	70c	179.5$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.5	476	60.7%289 W · 187 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed MOUZ	57c	175.44$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.44	412	48.8%201 W · 211 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked MOUZ	58c	172.42$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.42	71	57.7%41 W · 30 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d72…8e62backed MOUZ	60c	166.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.67	54	64.8%35 W · 19 L	+4.5wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ff2…49febacked MOUZ	57c	165.51$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.17	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3)this page
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic - Game 2 WinnerMOUZ won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Heroic (BO3)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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