CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Gentle Mates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2d4455dd3f2259f1b0f3248f659dba536c11471ae67c4394a34c146af77a6ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof G2, Gentle Mates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Gentle Mates | 7c | 4,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,720 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Gentle Mates | 12c | 2,849$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,495.28 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…a304backed Gentle Mates | 7c | 2,128$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.14 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed G2 | 53c | 2,024$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.61 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed Gentle Mates | 63c | 1,456$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.3 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked G2 | 62c | 1,351$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.88 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Gentle Mates | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Gentle Mates | 19c | 960.8$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.17 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Gentle Mates | 51c | 913.17$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.9 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed G2 | 33c | 900$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Gentle Mates | 16c | 843.75$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.75 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked G2 | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Gentle Mates | 14c | 300.29$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.25 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Gentle Mates | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Gentle Mates | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 385 | 52.2%201 W · 184 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff70…2475backed Gentle Mates | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…68a4backed G2 | 30c | 160$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 85 | 4.7%4 W · 81 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb04…8b8abacked Gentle Mates | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked G2 | 79c | 154.91$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.38 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Gentle Mates | 36c | 137$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.31 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Gentle Mates | 70c | 114.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53dc…98a1backed G2 | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07f0…c11dbacked G2 | 76c | 99.93$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.12 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Gentle Mates | 16c | 99.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…45debacked G2 | 66c | 96.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…623cbacked Gentle Mates | 72c | 84.06$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Gentle Mates | 65c | 62.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf135…eb06backed Gentle Mates | 41c | 48.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 30cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc231…6ebfbacked Gentle Mates | 70c | 26.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.