TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Plzen win on 2025-10-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$62,392
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,862

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,392 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf2f6…5817backed No49c18,000$8,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,773.622955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes52c7,470$3,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,585.4612269.7%85 W · 37 L+14.5wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No1c7,180$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.691421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick15cpaid-58.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes52c4,926$2,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,387.663,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No48c4,461$2,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,141.352540%10 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed No48c3,079$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.06922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fec…5b6fbacked Yes53c1,863$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.43650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No48c1,467$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.8415151%77 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No49c1,024$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.759265.2%60 W · 32 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49020050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Yes53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4702142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked Yes52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked No48c659.75$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.681030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No20c516.5$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5320042%84 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba01…e7dcbacked Yes51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fbf…4953backed No49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+43.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes52c420$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.62740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe9b…5662backed Yes51c400.39$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.393100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+89.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No48c387.2$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.664914.3%7 W · 42 L-8.3wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-60.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes55c341.25$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.0274155.9%414 W · 327 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14110332%33 W · 70 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1532740.7%11 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+45.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa740…ee18backed Yes51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1472100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x363c…9b0ebacked Yes51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1471100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked No51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes53c245.28$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2810055%55 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes51c216.51$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.424959.2%29 W · 20 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+40.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7e64…7308backed Yes51c215.69$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.69955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No49c203.94$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.472,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No50c200.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968456%47 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed No47c199.99$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946942%29 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes51c199.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989852%51 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6777…2612backed Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.08850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Yes52c191.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.162832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes51c146.98$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.984854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes50c144.56$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2814042.1%59 W · 81 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed No50c135.38$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.691030%3 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick57cpaid-55.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x347a…83e3backed Yes53c105.66$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.665135.3%18 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes53c100.64$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.641050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Yes52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Yes52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked Yes52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+37.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked No26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262626.9%7 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick18cpaid-33%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked No46c99.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.991338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99d4…bbeebacked Yes51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No47c96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1215846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No48c75$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eda…d453backed No49c71.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f2…f133backed No50c70.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa98d…fe62backed Yes51c70.9$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.74250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes51c69.22$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.228453.6%45 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No48c62.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8410960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.694240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes52c55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.627437.2%102 W · 172 L-1.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513552.6%71 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked No48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+43.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253938.5%15 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc36a…be63backed Yes52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.081442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes50c48$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.9wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4b9e…4580backed Yes54c46.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.673167.7%21 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+28.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No48c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1637926.1%99 W · 280 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2942…5c1bbacked No48c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.161560%9 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b0b…b072backed Yes52c40.92$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b5…2ebbbacked No50c40.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked No48c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.61963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf135…eb06backed Yes53c39.62$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.62850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Yes51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.228543.5%37 W · 48 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes52c38.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.732842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+25.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec2c…1b20backed Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.461353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x582b…20afbacked Yes53c37.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.411369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Yes70c33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.783161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-8.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc78b…8675backed No48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d4f…3e05backed Yes51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.415100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+107.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba03…f806backed Yes53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+53.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x75d3…1b1ebacked Yes51c25.92$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed No49c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.252572%18 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3058…5412backed Yes51c23.53$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.532050%10 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd99e…b859backed Yes51c20.9$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.24475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+29.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3510…cd72backed Yes51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef35…c333backed Yes52c19.62$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.