MLB · resolved market
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fd5b418395d0c6c58318fdd8ae152d9e1684339367a17f8a5e39feb2fbb183e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Seattle Mariners, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Detroit Tigers | 71c | 102,770$73,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,383.32 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Seattle Mariners | 31c | 87,655$27,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,109.75 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 27c | 26,296$7,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,082.24 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Detroit Tigers | 60c | 14,946$8,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,952.73 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.99 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 1,025$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.7 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 1,025$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.7 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 865.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 761.08$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.25 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 617.05$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.5 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Seattle Mariners | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Seattle Mariners | 44c | 498.95$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.54 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Seattle Mariners | 45c | 373.64$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.14 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Detroit Tigers | 55c | 364.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.05 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Seattle Mariners | 45c | 260$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 230$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Seattle Mariners | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Detroit Tigers | 55c | 141.22$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Seattle Mariners | 19c | 105$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Seattle Mariners | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d0…cd83backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.7wins | -0.39per pick | 55cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Seattle Mariners | 44c | 59.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked Seattle Mariners | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 47.7%62 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Seattle Mariners | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf135…eb06backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 48.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f9…edbfbacked Detroit Tigers | 57c | 48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…3462backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 26.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)this page
- Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5Under won
- Tigers vs. MarinersTigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.