Tennis · resolved market
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Benjamin Bonzi vs Gabriel Diallo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ee107f382212544ac3c24932342cdebcb902233415fe265d347809f6b87f743
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dialloof Bonzi, Diallo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bonzi | 13c | 2,089$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.01 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Bonzi | 26c | 1,884$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.49 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bonzi | 27c | 1,300$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Diallo | 62c | 704.28$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.62 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Diallo | 62c | 516.79$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.38 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Diallo | 66c | 420.47$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.57 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Diallo | 64c | 393.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.37 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Bonzi | 36c | 233$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Diallo | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Bonzi | 41c | 147.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Bonzi | 32c | 105$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf135…eb06backed Bonzi | 35c | 104.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Diallo | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Bonzi | 18c | 98.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Diallo | 61c | 92.88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Diallo | 64c | 79.49$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked Diallo | 64c | 79.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Bonzi | 39c | 78.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bonzi | 19c | 68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Bonzi | 36c | 56.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Bonzi | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,356 | 46.5%1,096 W · 1,260 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…1485backed Bonzi | 37c | 53.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Bonzi | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Bonzi | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Diallo | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…fd50backed Diallo | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 167 | 67.7%113 W · 54 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…66b2backed Diallo | 72c | 15.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.