CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc30dc51870345d6edb5ae19261906713eaecd10994e033f7c79fd50cfd889f7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $218,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $246,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked MOUZ | 47c | 38,033$17,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,045.42 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 22,727$11,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,222.24 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed MOUZ | 58c | 14,688$8,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,195.21 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed MOUZ | 62c | 12,775$7,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,882.31 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 11,663$4,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350.98 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 10,869$4,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,221 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed MOUZ | 55c | 8,937$4,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,995.99 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…085dbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 6,310$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.9 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 5,313$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565.21 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…2f2dbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 5,009$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -67%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…c5d0backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 4,329$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 3,500$1,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.99 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed MOUZ | 63c | 3,006$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked MOUZ | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.18 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 2,908$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.19 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed MOUZ | 61c | 2,864$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Natus Vincere | 65c | 2,688$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.93 | 317 | 57.7%183 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…a28dbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 2,428$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.66 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed MOUZ | 62c | 2,034$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.83 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 2,000$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eed…5a28backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 1,817$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.33 | 93 | 29%27 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d0…a970backed MOUZ | 40c | 1,720$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked MOUZ | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 252 | 61.5%155 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed MOUZ | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked MOUZ | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed MOUZ | 60c | 1,472$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.31 | 249 | 35.7%89 W · 160 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…d974backed MOUZ | 62c | 1,440$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.04 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -18.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked MOUZ | 62c | 1,419$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.08 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 1,396$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.33 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 1,255$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.81 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 1,252$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…27c2backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,187$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…af95backed MOUZ | 44c | 1,113$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.95 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed MOUZ | 50c | 1,100$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56bb…8e6bbacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 1,100$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 1,000$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked MOUZ | 63c | 985.41$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.6 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked MOUZ | 64c | 977.92$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.84 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…0dc4backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 938.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.7 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…af1abacked MOUZ | 53c | 837.74$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed MOUZ | 62c | 833.36$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.05 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked MOUZ | 60c | 826$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.4 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ | 58c | 795.4$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.78 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 753.37$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed MOUZ | 67c | 706.2$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.17 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4957…a5fbbacked MOUZ | 63c | 700$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6c57backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 700$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…494fbacked MOUZ | 60c | 699.99$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa248…19d9backed MOUZ | 62c | 691.24$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.67 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 676.68$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.6 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Natus Vincere | 61c | 656.12$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed MOUZ | 65c | 587.88$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.88 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…b0f3backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 584.91$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 580.41$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.75 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ec…18f4backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed MOUZ | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked MOUZ | 64c | 473$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.28 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa766…bcb2backed MOUZ | 64c | 467.05$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed MOUZ | 64c | 438$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.68 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed MOUZ | 39c | 410.23$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.24 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…fc88backed MOUZ | 53c | 350$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 350$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6482…9169backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 350$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ | 62c | 344.49$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.05 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7964…f585backed MOUZ | 62c | 330$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed MOUZ | 62c | 321.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.35 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…eda0backed MOUZ | 64c | 312.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.48 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…7cd6backed MOUZ | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed MOUZ | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.5 | 214 | 37.9%81 W · 133 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed MOUZ | 51c | 297.32$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.28 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e05…14e5backed MOUZ | 34c | 292.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1b…7d5ebacked Natus Vincere | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c00…c473backed MOUZ | 52c | 261.14$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6beb…389fbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ac…7071backed MOUZ | 39c | 255.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 249.06$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.13 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 245.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed MOUZ | 31c | 237.9$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.15 | 92 | 15.2%14 W · 78 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x488b…cc50backed MOUZ | 46c | 237.77$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Natus Vincere | 61c | 231.77$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.38 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f1…f301backed MOUZ | 48c | 231.41$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.41 | 201 | 57.7%116 W · 85 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed MOUZ | 62c | 224.8$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.42 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -19.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed MOUZ | 51c | 218.25$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.34 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked MOUZ | 46c | 215.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.6 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Natus Vincere | 49c | 210.01$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.64 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb841…3cfbbacked MOUZ | 62c | 204.84$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.84 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4709…bda7backed MOUZ | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…3202backed Natus Vincere | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed MOUZ | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 186 | 24.2%45 W · 141 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 193.16$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.54 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 183$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed MOUZ | 59c | 176.85$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.51 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed MOUZ | 61c | 170$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.