College Football · resolved market
West Virginia vs. BYU
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5822e85ff1703ef17218fc4e8464c83dc4d15a792563b322d83742a7413bd59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BYUof West Virginia, BYU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $258,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $266,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38b…5029backed West Virginia | 10c | 121,483$12,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,148.25 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked West Virginia | 8c | 25,640$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.87 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed West Virginia | 9c | 18,252$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.97 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked West Virginia | 1c | 6,475$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked West Virginia | 0c | 5,096$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed West Virginia | 11c | 3,156$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…2484backed West Virginia | 1c | 1,736$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…d057backed West Virginia | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed West Virginia | 9c | 895.8$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.62 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed West Virginia | 3c | 670$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked West Virginia | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed West Virginia | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…b41fbacked West Virginia | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf135…eb06backed West Virginia | 7c | 245.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked West Virginia | 9c | 220.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed West Virginia | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Virginia vs. BYUthis page
- Spread: Cougars (-18.5)Mountaineers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.