CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Gentle Mates (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf380bd1c360062bcaf80db2180bde1af405b6fb4b7bbacfdca189766cb25d70b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gentle Matesof Vitality, Gentle Mates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Gentle Mates | 13c | 9,739$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,504.12 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Gentle Mates | 14c | 5,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Gentle Mates | 51c | 4,537$2,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.99 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8f…ef1bbacked Vitality | 77c | 3,046$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,342.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Gentle Mates | 13c | 2,700$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Vitality | 68c | 2,580$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.26 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Vitality | 64c | 2,500$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.77 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Gentle Mates | 35c | 2,458$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.42 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Gentle Mates | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Vitality | 37c | 1,938$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.31 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Gentle Mates | 12c | 1,508$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.4 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Gentle Mates | 36c | 1,436$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.47 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff70…2475backed Gentle Mates | 15c | 1,360$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed Gentle Mates | 42c | 1,172$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.72 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Vitality | 45c | 1,064$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.31 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Vitality | 55c | 1,047$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.08 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Gentle Mates | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Vitality | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…c58cbacked Vitality | 76c | 1,000$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.5 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed Vitality | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Vitality | 78c | 800$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed Gentle Mates | 28c | 715.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8206…7cacbacked Gentle Mates | 14c | 715$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.9 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Gentle Mates | 11c | 700$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…a28dbacked Gentle Mates | 65c | 635.2$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.27 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…494fbacked Gentle Mates | 50c | 529.46$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.12 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Vitality | 58c | 513.78$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Gentle Mates | 12c | 500$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…0dc4backed Vitality | 65c | 460.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Gentle Mates | 27c | 444$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.12 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed Gentle Mates | 66c | 432.07$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.9 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Gentle Mates | 24c | 415$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.8 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Gentle Mates | 28c | 351.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.61 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Gentle Mates | 21c | 351.54$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.54 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Vitality | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.75 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Vitality | 55c | 234$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.7 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1d…0704backed Vitality | 63c | 206.95$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Gentle Mates | 37c | 201.77$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.77 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…73b3backed Gentle Mates | 54c | 197.96$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.06 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Gentle Mates | 18c | 190$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.8 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…0d18backed Gentle Mates | 39c | 178.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.47 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…16bfbacked Gentle Mates | 45c | 160$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Vitality | 43c | 160$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed Gentle Mates | 73c | 160$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked Gentle Mates | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…9fa5backed Vitality | 56c | 129.71$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Gentle Mates | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53dc…98a1backed Vitality | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Vitality | 27c | 95.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f2…da0ebacked Gentle Mates | 53c | 92.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -7.4wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Gentle Mates | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked Vitality | 66c | 90$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed Gentle Mates | 12c | 85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Gentle Mates | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…6a20backed Vitality | 70c | 79.46$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Vitality | 24c | 70.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Vitality | 65c | 60.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Gentle Mates | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Vitality | 38c | 54.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Vitality | 26c | 47.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed Vitality | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf135…eb06backed Gentle Mates | 37c | 40.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 30cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64b3…5411backed Vitality | 72c | 39.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…3de9backed Vitality | 63c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked Vitality | 56c | 34.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Gentle Mates | 73c | 32.52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Vitality | 44c | 31.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Vitality | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -12.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…8b56backed Vitality | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8402backed Vitality | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -5.1wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Vitality | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…435cbacked Gentle Mates | 75c | 17.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.