CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 3DMAX (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88f3015087a76e310468a718fa0cf76304ff17932b815e114a6c7d3fb58d38ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, 3DMAX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a05…5c62backed 3DMAX | 32c | 15,100$4,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,823.22 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed FURIA | 68c | 14,707$10,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,706.32 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed 3DMAX | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked FURIA | 69c | 1,796$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.76 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 3DMAX | 13c | 1,250$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FURIA | 68c | 1,236$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.67 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed 3DMAX | 32c | 1,230$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.67 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked 3DMAX | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed FURIA | 69c | 751$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.81 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8206…7cacbacked 3DMAX | 31c | 645$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed 3DMAX | 17c | 599.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed 3DMAX | 31c | 538.1$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.81 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed 3DMAX | 32c | 470$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked FURIA | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed 3DMAX | 15c | 382$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 92 | 15.2%14 W · 78 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…51edbacked 3DMAX | 18c | 364.72$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked FURIA | 71c | 323.37$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.14 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed FURIA | 69c | 318.07$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.12 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed 3DMAX | 31c | 275$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked FURIA | 69c | 253$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.43 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed FURIA | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 233 | 51.5%120 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked 3DMAX | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed FURIA | 69c | 165$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…d974backed 3DMAX | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -18.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed 3DMAX | 17c | 135$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf135…eb06backed 3DMAX | 23c | 125$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 30cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed 3DMAX | 30c | 118.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed FURIA | 70c | 118.06$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked FURIA | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked 3DMAX | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked FURIA | 78c | 94.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed 3DMAX | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…0d18backed 3DMAX | 31c | 83.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf117…31b6backed 3DMAX | 30c | 80.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -6.1wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…22dabacked 3DMAX | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed FURIA | 78c | 64.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked 3DMAX | 22c | 64.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…0055backed 3DMAX | 30c | 57.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 178 | 47.8%85 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked FURIA | 70c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57c…2329backed FURIA | 70c | 48.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked FURIA | 71c | 42.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 289 | 64%185 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed FURIA | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 283 | 46.6%132 W · 151 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked FURIA | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.