TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Rams (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
49ersof Rams, 49ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$332,783
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$332,545

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,783 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2f09…4632backed Rams58c72,569$42,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,089.913843.5%60 W · 78 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked 49ers42c57,052$23,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,287.5910061%61 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked 49ers40c40,101$16,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,060.7424652%128 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked 49ers41c37,776$15,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,287.8414351%73 W · 70 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47bc…c043backed Rams59c37,376$22,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,051.846734.3%23 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaefe…1e4abacked Rams60c35,305$21,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,324.551957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9249…4f16backed 49ers43c31,000$13,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,64017647.7%84 W · 92 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfcc…441bbacked Rams60c25,012$15,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0073138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed 49ers42c23,400$9,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,571.9810650.9%54 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb1e…88d5backed 49ers41c21,552$8,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,715.95560%33 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Rams59c19,976$11,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,785.618156.9%103 W · 78 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed Rams59c16,946$9,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,998.141844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed 49ers57c16,620$9,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,170.7941947.3%198 W · 221 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rams58c13,690$7,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,964.7764747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed Rams60c13,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,8007346.6%34 W · 39 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked 49ers40c11,723$4,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,033.7683147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked 49ers40c11,210$4,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,677.9441851.9%217 W · 201 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked 49ers42c10,700$4,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,201.5744652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rams42c8,409$3,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,515.1868446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x052c…404ebacked Rams59c5,000$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9702050%10 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed 49ers41c5,000$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,95025744.4%114 W · 143 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rams55c4,609$2,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,540.6922548.4%109 W · 116 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed 49ers50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00018435.9%66 W · 118 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed 49ers46c3,742$1,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.2926650.8%135 W · 131 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfecb…19babacked Rams59c3,388$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9996544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Rams59c2,653$1,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,563.738959.6%53 W · 36 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9353…4229backed Rams60c2,500$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Rams54c2,441$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.2311544.3%51 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed 49ers40c2,327$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.167143.7%31 W · 40 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…69fdbacked Rams60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20011755.6%65 W · 52 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Rams60c2,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Rams57c1,656$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.9124551%125 W · 120 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked Rams60c1,315$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.718750.6%44 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked 49ers42c1,262$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.4410752.3%56 W · 51 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Rams49c1,080$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.4117454.6%95 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked 49ers51c1,078$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.439949.5%49 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked 49ers43c1,029$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.188048.8%39 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked 49ers39c1,017$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6204551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed 49ers39c1,009$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6157644.7%34 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Rams59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59017144.4%76 W · 95 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x183a…d514backed Rams61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61014355.2%79 W · 64 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked 49ers41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5904443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Rams49c950$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46326857.1%153 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Rams51c900$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45923647%111 W · 125 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed 49ers39c880$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.827633.3%92 W · 184 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rams57c752.93$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.881,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Rams59c700$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4137544%33 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed 49ers41c700$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4137436.5%27 W · 47 L-7.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Rams51c620$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31427644.2%122 W · 154 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked 49ers41c600$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35426648.9%130 W · 136 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Rams55c545.45$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014344.1%63 W · 80 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked 49ers41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29541540.2%167 W · 248 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa356…69f4backed Rams59c498.31$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed 49ers42c489.96$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.9454451.7%281 W · 263 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa37a…2564backed Rams55c454.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Rams56c446$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.76825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf8e…0f12backed Rams60c430$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2582147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Rams60c408.52$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.1112850%64 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f9b…d771backed 49ers41c402.17$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.275626.8%15 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Rams52c399.51$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.757150.7%36 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Rams60c378.55$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.1311237.5%42 W · 70 L-10.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed 49ers53c373.69$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.3961148.6%297 W · 314 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Rams58c337.88$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.977751.9%40 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35de…b39abacked 49ers45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3320143.3%87 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked 49ers41c325$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.756648.5%32 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked 49ers41c322.84$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.4839754.4%216 W · 181 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xedae…584fbacked 49ers39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1833250%16 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Rams58c293.1$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17028047.5%133 W · 147 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14c9…c193backed Rams56c267.7$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.911127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.26per pick53cpaid-53.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5340…5e2bbacked Rams50c264.76$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.610750.5%54 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed 49ers40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15055345%249 W · 304 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Rams60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010345.6%47 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3853…a3d3backed Rams57c230$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1322254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2d6…d648backed 49ers49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.088536.5%31 W · 54 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Rams60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12059453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x214d…8911backed Rams59c175$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.258446.4%39 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked 49ers40c170$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10220542%86 W · 119 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Rams59c170$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.313455.2%74 W · 60 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c96…abc5backed Rams60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004427.3%12 W · 32 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-38.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbea6…eab2backed Rams61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x25ad…46fcbacked Rams59c150$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.51428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7e07…c0d4backed Rams59c133$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.475261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Rams55c118.75$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4418151.9%94 W · 87 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x671f…af9cbacked 49ers42c117.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.43875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe2c…4ae8backed 49ers41c110$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.555259.6%31 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Rams36c103$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0932347.4%153 W · 170 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7555…ce17backed Rams59c101.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609348.4%45 W · 48 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa740…ee18backed Rams59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc739…e7abbacked 49ers51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Rams59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5924243.4%105 W · 137 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a25…c24dbacked Rams59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598143.2%35 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x471a…e242backed Rams60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603342.4%14 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0078…bca0backed Rams60c99.38$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6322745.4%103 W · 124 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17d4…d3aabacked Rams58c94.83$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+49.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75b5…a1f2backed Rams60c93.63$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.182944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Rams60c92.55$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.536055%33 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7312…d40dbacked 49ers64c78.81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.371866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+32.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Rams60c75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4515352.3%80 W · 73 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02f7…b17abacked Rams45c70.2$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3511855.9%66 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf9d…3ea9backed Rams58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4026660.9%162 W · 104 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.