Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Trabzonspor vs. Kayserispor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46ed72ef5a92e4a628c729863b7f75b44c0538a9bb34f67da000226cbbf5bcfb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9467…fc3ebacked Yes | 21c | 7,150$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…332cbacked Yes | 21c | 5,240$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec7…4723backed Yes | 21c | 4,770$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…a159backed No | 79c | 3,800$3,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…afd7backed No | 79c | 3,798$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f56…173abacked No | 79c | 3,670$2,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa409…b250backed Yes | 21c | 2,855$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd564…d3a9backed No | 79c | 2,532$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48c…4c3cbacked No | 79c | 2,434$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd0…0f3fbacked No | 79c | 2,405$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…5bd0backed Yes | 19c | 430$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 11c | 295.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 79c | 251.08$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.73 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Yes | 19c | 55.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trabzonspor vs. Kayserispor end in a draw?this page
- Will Kayserispor win on 2025-10-03?No won
- Will Trabzonspor win on 2025-10-03?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.