Mls · resolved market
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-10-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fd9689d80bb54608f101fa396ccf364c8d1f91e4485559e6294d68cd4b7eb7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 67c | 20,000$13,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 33c | 17,120$5,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,649.63 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 24c | 11,000$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,638.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 23c | 6,197$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.03 | 257 | 61.5%158 W · 99 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 74c | 5,260$3,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.04 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Yes | 74c | 3,356$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.17 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 27c | 2,206$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.88 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 75c | 1,335$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.58 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 70c | 957.07$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.87 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 31c | 779.02$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.5 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6876…8dc9backed Yes | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed No | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 71c | 497$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.38 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf661…d170backed No | 23c | 488.89$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7428…e742backed Yes | 74c | 406.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 73c | 378$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.88 | 161 | 37.9%61 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 24c | 374$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.59 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 73c | 367$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.09 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 69c | 335.55$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.25 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 74c | 142$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…8e7dbacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 65c | 127$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.45 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 25c | 104.57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed No | 25c | 100.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 16c | 66.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1aa…854abacked No | 27c | 58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1579…b7c5backed Yes | 77c | 41.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e8…9d12backed Yes | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 28c | 38.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 165 | 31.5%52 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…3fbdbacked Yes | 76c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 160 | 61.3%98 W · 62 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 77c | 24.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…48d8backed Yes | 72c | 22.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 77c | 22.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…92d5backed Yes | 74c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9059…1a97backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-10-11?this page
- Will Atlanta United FC win on 2025-10-11?No won
- Will Inter Miami CF vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.