Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-10-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e37fb815c0fd59e282fb23cfd70f57eb51c130a8c87b517aef5f686f359caff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 25c | 2,500$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf661…d170backed No | 24c | 2,114$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 47c | 1,700$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.88 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 1,207$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.76 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…ec27backed Yes | 53c | 930.43$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf6…9498backed Yes | 54c | 809.7$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 40c | 495.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.08 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ae…4c3dbacked Yes | 75c | 466.09$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 74c | 415.67$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.84 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 16c | 350$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 76c | 349.36$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 25c | 175.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 12c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…9240backed Yes | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 76c | 105.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 49c | 99.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 26c | 94.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x340d…1335backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x893c…b437backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…f9c8backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdadb…7d2dbacked Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f63…848bbacked Yes | 56c | 64.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…9b53backed Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21e3…af5cbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x135d…646bbacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a0…63b2backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 72cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x963a…fc4cbacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Twente '65 win on 2025-10-05?this page
- Will FC Twente '65 vs. Heracles Almelo end in a draw?No won
- Will Heracles Almelo win on 2025-10-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.