Champions League · resolved market
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-10-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7cab9a5e86fa6aceb4a8f5b14f6e6f8a326592c8a644710a02a67efb6f126f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,027,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,066,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,027,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 8c | 253,671$19,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,181.11 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 0c | 96,375$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.54 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked No | 13c | 82,439$10,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,675.08 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 14c | 46,910$6,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,567.39 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 14c | 40,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.99 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked No | 12c | 25,080$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 13c | 20,121$2,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,620.29 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 14c | 20,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 11c | 19,828$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.95 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 12c | 14,651$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.69 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9d…4d41backed No | 15c | 14,189$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,128.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 11c | 13,000$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked No | 12c | 12,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf661…d170backed No | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.98 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.96 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 14c | 8,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.95 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed No | 11c | 7,623$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 11c | 7,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 14c | 6,999$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.91 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 14c | 6,364$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.28 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked No | 12c | 5,924$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 2c | 5,435$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.71 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 12c | 4,783$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 12c | 4,069$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.49 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 14c | 3,548$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.29 | 190 | 28.9%55 W · 135 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b2…914ebacked No | 14c | 3,500$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked No | 2c | 3,448$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.96 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -47%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 7c | 2,718$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.16 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc341…6298backed No | 15c | 2,450$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x421d…320abacked No | 16c | 2,160$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.18 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 14c | 2,050$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 2c | 1,637$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 10c | 1,422$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.17 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 2c | 1,212$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 383 | 43.1%165 W · 218 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed No | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 16c | 982.16$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.97 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 14c | 901.29$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.3 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 2c | 900$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…fd01backed No | 14c | 900$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 15c | 896.2$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.54 | 139 | 27.3%38 W · 101 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 13c | 805$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.65 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 17c | 800$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…c220backed No | 15c | 708.11$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.22 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 14c | 700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked No | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked No | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 11c | 560$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 375 | 44%165 W · 210 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 13c | 555$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.15 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed No | 16c | 520.48$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.48 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 14c | 478.57$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed No | 3c | 461.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 10c | 400$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed No | 14c | 350$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5125…2d73backed No | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 9c | 285.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed No | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked No | 14c | 235.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0971…83abbacked No | 6c | 219.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc102…0401backed No | 14c | 187.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabba…577abacked No | 13c | 183.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca31…fc23backed No | 15c | 147.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c25…e86dbacked No | 13c | 134.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 136 | 44.1%60 W · 76 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…9ababacked No | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7e…4cedbacked No | 15c | 88.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 17c | 88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ed…e223backed No | 14c | 73.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-10-22?this page
- Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-10-22?No won
- Will FC Bayern München vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.