Fifa International · resolved market
Will Uruguay win on 2025-10-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75c1ffa92c0bf7eb88b2a459a6e7946120678f38e998be04e93958bb3eb66cdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 32c | 6,596$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.56 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 45c | 6,091$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,732.64 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 46c | 6,000$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,789.88 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 55c | 4,120$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,278.36 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 52c | 3,821$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.14 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 44c | 3,399$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.23 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 13c | 3,363$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.87 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c5…85b2backed Yes | 57c | 2,882$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,247.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 70c | 2,793$1,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.2 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0b…ed09backed Yes | 43c | 2,599$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 45c | 2,204$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.8 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked No | 60c | 2,059$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…575cbacked Yes | 57c | 1,999$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.6 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 53c | 1,874$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 53c | 1,604$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.77 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0219…61e7backed Yes | 76c | 1,553$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…dfb9backed Yes | 44c | 1,550$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.8 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 46c | 1,417$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.07 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 20c | 1,379$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.55 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 46c | 1,336$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.73 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked No | 44c | 1,072$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.46 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf661…d170backed No | 45c | 769.98$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.49 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…e11fbacked Yes | 54c | 555$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.3 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed No | 48c | 500$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Yes | 48c | 499$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640d…51e2backed Yes | 54c | 475.67$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63fa…7ea4backed Yes | 54c | 473.57$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.84 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…a60abacked Yes | 53c | 459.79$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 57c | 446.85$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.86 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 53c | 390.7$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.26 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 51c | 381.25$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.67 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…83eabacked Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f0…b870backed Yes | 55c | 363.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 56c | 359.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.49 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 55c | 358.45$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.3 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a4…d079backed Yes | 53c | 319.49$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 69c | 303.83$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.81 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked No | 49c | 280.82$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.82 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 55c | 218.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.18 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 56c | 213.17$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.17 | 116 | 60.3%70 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Yes | 54c | 191.37$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.03 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c32…f103backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…12e2backed Yes | 53c | 188.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5240…8f9cbacked Yes | 53c | 188.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 54c | 185.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.88 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b3…2beabacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 55c | 181.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.02 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e96…a75bbacked Yes | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Yes | 57c | 175.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.77 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…2398backed Yes | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 44c | 149.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed No | 58c | 134.95$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes | 54c | 122.22$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488d…b4a7backed Yes | 54c | 118.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241c…3d77backed Yes | 56c | 110.71$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…2882backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd87…01a9backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed No | 44c | 99.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 47c | 99.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 54c | 98.35$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85db…0d12backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac5…28d4backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…6bbabacked Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 45c | 85.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed No | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e90…6034backed Yes | 53c | 77.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…52e0backed Yes | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f8…118fbacked Yes | 56c | 69.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…3a5bbacked Yes | 57c | 52.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226e…ac5abacked Yes | 55c | 50.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x970a…4d1ebacked Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…2647backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…7949backed Yes | 54c | 48.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 53c | 47.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 45c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…7351backed Yes | 55c | 40.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 55c | 40.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 128 | 29.7%38 W · 90 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7182…ace2backed Yes | 53c | 39.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 46c | 39.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 41c | 37.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…b9f6backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…2276backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ca…5ecbbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6030…dc7abacked No | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a7…1bdcbacked No | 61c | 32.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…2d56backed Yes | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434c…4c7dbacked Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…f806backed Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Uruguay win on 2025-10-13?this page
- Will Uzbekistan vs. Uruguay end in a draw?No won
- Will Uzbekistan win on 2025-10-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.