Fifa International · resolved market
Will Scotland win on 2025-10-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6c2837f17c8a00bd607e8bd595309483c4814633bf746d70e186d7890654b65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 14c | 30,008$4,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,283.58 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 8c | 15,719$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.18 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 14c | 15,415$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 13c | 8,210$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.89 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…8189backed No | 13c | 6,533$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.83 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf661…d170backed No | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed No | 14c | 1,077$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 13c | 1,062$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.09 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x421d…320abacked No | 15c | 993.33$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 12c | 827.27$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.64 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 11c | 703.63$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.84 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 13c | 599.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 19c | 538.34$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.65 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked No | 15c | 437.94$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.69 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 14c | 317.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 14c | 303.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.91 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 12c | 226.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 13c | 209.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…8fe6backed No | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked No | 17c | 194.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 9c | 175$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 431 | 45.2%195 W · 236 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 8c | 137$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed No | 13c | 123.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d77…31cabacked No | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +342.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 13c | 111.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed No | 15c | 109.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 18c | 106.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 15c | 77.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Scotland win on 2025-10-12?this page
- Will Belarus win on 2025-10-12?No won
- Will Scotland vs. Belarus end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.