Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump say UN / United Nations during Netanyahu events on September 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02567e36b13a4e8606cef75db85b74527b9cf2f2fb255756ea098b1f5ea01625
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27b8…b68cbacked No | 1c | 2,186$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf41…1587backed No | 2c | 2,150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x852a…3188backed No | 31c | 2,121$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.49 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xedf6…cf40backed Yes | 69c | 1,127$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.27 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8f…162cbacked No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 20c | 714.12$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.75 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…5f7fbacked Yes | 64c | 646.82$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.36 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…57febacked Yes | 64c | 529.99$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.3 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed No | 35c | 444$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 37c | 354$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.88 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…7564backed No | 11c | 306$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72f4…4f20backed Yes | 63c | 268.33$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.03 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed Yes | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed Yes | 65c | 245.52$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 64c | 234.25$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.33 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…5fd4backed Yes | 65c | 225$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.45 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Yes | 64c | 201$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked No | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 33c | 193.09$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.12 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 78c | 189.74$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.74 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 22c | 189.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…c799backed Yes | 53c | 188.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed No | 35c | 180.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.88 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…368cbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -87%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6518…175dbacked No | 36c | 156$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9241…f41cbacked Yes | 65c | 154.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.84 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd383…c77abacked Yes | 64c | 139.66$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…9dcabacked Yes | 65c | 132.43$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 66c | 125$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…c931backed Yes | 64c | 110.94$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…390bbacked No | 38c | 106.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ab07backed Yes | 68c | 106$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…62efbacked No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 35c | 99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 38c | 96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 236 | 39.4%93 W · 143 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…7cd6backed Yes | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a07…05c1backed Yes | 65c | 85.49$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Yes | 65c | 85.43$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeacd…8143backed Yes | 64c | 79.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 63c | 78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 35c | 76.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…4bd3backed Yes | 65c | 75.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d96cbacked Yes | 75c | 59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -58%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed No | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…8f83backed No | 45c | 45.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0d…79cebacked Yes | 65c | 43.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf661…d170backed Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked No | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 33c | 32.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…6cf0backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…fa42backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d8…ff9bbacked Yes | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8536…a2cfbacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea7…79adbacked Yes | 64c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…f68dbacked Yes | 63c | 26.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…4ed0backed Yes | 73c | 24.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…97debacked Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8b…1f0abacked Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e3…a1dabacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d0…77cbbacked Yes | 53c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe97d…622bbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump say UN / United Nations during Netanyahu events on September 29?this page
- Will Trump say Bibi during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Biden 3+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Erdogan / Turkey during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Fake news during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
- Will Trump say Gaza 5+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Hell during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Hezbollah during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
- Will Trump say Israel 7+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Palestine during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
- Will Trump say Qatar during Netanyahu events on September 29?Yes won
- Will Trump say Sick person during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
- Will Trump say Thousand / Million / Billion 10+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
- Will Trump say TikTok during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
- Will Trump say Young people during Netanyahu events on September 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.