Tennis · resolved market
Guangzhou Open: Shuai Zhang vs Ann Li
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea0834b319984e784953e679be43acb9761b1d0865325f31851469e8540e35d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liof Zhang, Li
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Zhang | 32c | 5,732$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,841.59 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Li | 63c | 3,867$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.04 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Li | 64c | 1,430$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.83 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Zhang | 40c | 1,415$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.67 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zhang | 1c | 1,124$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…f211backed Li | 57c | 1,069$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.31 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Zhang | 36c | 1,037$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.86 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Li | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Zhang | 37c | 961.58$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.03 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28d…90c3backed Li | 65c | 680$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5780…c280backed Zhang | 36c | 680$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Li | 60c | 596.77$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.88 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Li | 59c | 424$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 38cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Zhang | 27c | 302.64$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.51 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Zhang | 40c | 291$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.55 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zhang | 42c | 238.7$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.92 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…efe0backed Zhang | 44c | 229.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…9e73backed Li | 65c | 183.25$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Li | 57c | 173.54$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.62 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe765…bb96backed Zhang | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Li | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Li | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…d617backed Li | 61c | 160$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…cbe5backed Zhang | 42c | 151.79$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Li | 60c | 148.62$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Li | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Zhang | 33c | 110.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…5b3cbacked Zhang | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Zhang | 40c | 92.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 497 | 49.9%248 W · 249 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Li | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Li | 58c | 83.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Li | 64c | 80.16$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Zhang | 18c | 66.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Li | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Li | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Zhang | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…9530backed Li | 61c | 34.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Li | 67c | 32.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fb…2b2abacked Li | 62c | 31.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Li | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3412…3a3cbacked Li | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c63…a2f9backed Li | 65c | 20.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Li | 63c | 17.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e2…9710backed Li | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.