Mls · resolved market
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2025-10-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33ba9779396a82cb45c4236976472ca1523cdeb906b7dd78696ffb2851b0dc9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 66c | 25,000$16,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,491.58 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 34c | 17,123$5,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,301.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed No | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 27c | 1,750$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.83 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 66c | 1,672$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.84 | 161 | 37.9%61 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 34c | 1,600$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…0956backed No | 64c | 1,508$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 24c | 1,485$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.29 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 1,124$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.32 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 72c | 1,034$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.92 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 73c | 1,004$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.03 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52f…e6b0backed Yes | 76c | 763.97$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +150%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 36c | 748.69$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 32c | 625$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 9c | 612$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 76c | 461.13$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd6…4634backed Yes | 66c | 450.48$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked No | 29c | 436.61$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 77c | 369.75$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.71 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 68c | 366.57$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.25 | 257 | 61.5%158 W · 99 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 32c | 354.22$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.19 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 66c | 310$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.37 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked No | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…e2c4backed No | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdc…efadbacked Yes | 8c | 288.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 36c | 285$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e2…9710backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 34c | 240$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 8c | 200.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 72c | 163.61$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa608…59e0backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 36c | 139.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 68c | 130$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.94 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 61c | 108$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.76 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -10.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 36c | 97.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 37c | 78.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 30c | 77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.56 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 26c | 65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…2cf8backed Yes | 55c | 63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd88f…8d2cbacked Yes | 65c | 61.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Yes | 29c | 58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked No | 32c | 44.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…2d33backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc8…b60ebacked Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2025-10-18?this page
- Will FC Dallas win on 2025-10-18?Yes won
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.