Champions League · resolved market
Atalanta BC vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf679bc626d6c0b012a654c7997de4d8bbea01f7dba54ac1eeb8e546f0b3dbb39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 1c | 2,198$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 40c | 1,004$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.55 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Over | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 59c | 892.16$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.79 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 60c | 306.6$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7826…20b1backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2988…e46bbacked Under | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 39c | 123$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Under | 61c | 99.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Over | 36c | 92.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 174 | 26.4%46 W · 128 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Under | 64c | 78.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Over | 36c | 54.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b46…4f6ebacked Over | 39c | 51.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37c…189abacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Under | 63c | 44.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e2…9710backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb04d…3e1ebacked Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atalanta BC vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)SK Slavia Praha won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.