NFL · resolved market
Buccaneers vs. Lions: O/U 52.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cf3272ca12beb73335981900dcbaa8574be5519ed9b16800eb9603086a43ca9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $280,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $280,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $280,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Over | 53c | 78,610$41,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,663.52 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 54c | 57,121$30,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,741.36 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Under | 44c | 54,716$24,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,641 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 52c | 49,500$25,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,740 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 46c | 41,968$19,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,528.71 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Under | 48c | 36,506$17,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,982.96 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Under | 47c | 21,362$10,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,238.05 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 45c | 20,639$9,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,278.16 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Under | 47c | 12,674$5,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,679.73 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 47c | 7,598$3,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,016.55 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked Over | 58c | 4,397$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Over | 53c | 4,104$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.12 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 46c | 4,064$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,202.38 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…f40abacked Over | 56c | 3,431$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.54 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Over | 52c | 3,256$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.09 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 47c | 3,041$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.73 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 48c | 1,271$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.68 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 51c | 1,250$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.5 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 52c | 1,215$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.68 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Under | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 392 | 42.6%167 W · 225 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Under | 44c | 863.45$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.31 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Over | 52c | 790.9$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.27 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Under | 46c | 736.14$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.11 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb1…cc29backed Under | 48c | 605$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3269…d5b3backed Over | 52c | 605$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…d46bbacked Over | 53c | 563.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 523.49$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.13 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Under | 43c | 500.35$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.2 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…eeccbacked Over | 56c | 469.64$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Under | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…1778backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.11 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…a1d8backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Under | 48c | 333.33$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.33 | 162 | 75.3%122 W · 40 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 43c | 314$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.98 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 65c | 310$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Over | 56c | 254.11$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.32 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 43c | 235$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.95 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 45c | 222.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.59 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f3…c262backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf068…6184backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…57f1backed Over | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…bfdfbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Over | 58c | 180$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.8 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…df5ebacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a8…57d5backed Over | 57c | 177$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 48c | 175$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 314 | 50%157 W · 157 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…f97cbacked Under | 49c | 140$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Over | 52c | 140$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Under | 49c | 136$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.36 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7555…ce17backed Over | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Under | 65c | 107.4$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Over | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…012cbacked Over | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e02…d177backed Under | 49c | 77.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd30…3b97backed Under | 49c | 70.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e2…9710backed Over | 58c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Under | 49c | 69.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 145 | 50.3%73 W · 72 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 35c | 64.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x731c…a252backed Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6032…fdd3backed Over | 52c | 51.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Under | 49c | 50.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb3…5874backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f30…6a36backed Over | 52c | 48.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e12…7578backed Over | 52c | 47.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x624a…287cbacked Over | 53c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5a…dafdbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…bf3bbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed9e…f83fbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…e7d8backed Under | 45c | 27.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -8.0wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xebd3…c5f4backed Under | 45c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf6…0edfbacked Over | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 13 | 100%13 W · 0 L | +5.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Over | 52c | 22.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Under | 46c | 21.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9a…2bfcbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Buccaneers vs. Lions: O/U 52.5this page
- Buccaneers vs. LionsLions won
- Buccaneers vs. Lions: O/U 53.5Under won
- Buccaneers vs. Lions: O/U 54.5Under won
- Spread: Lions (-4.5)Lions won
- Spread: Lions (-5.5)Lions won
- Spread: Lions (-6.5)Lions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.