NFL · resolved market
Spread: Lions (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2388e68134085ba056a031787cf57c23045c9a8d86576347b1e9743a35010bb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lionsof Lions, Buccaneers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $334,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $336,802
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $334,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Buccaneers | 47c | 152,051$71,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,446.86 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Buccaneers | 48c | 50,354$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,999.89 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Lions | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,500 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Lions | 53c | 36,669$19,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,234.43 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Lions | 52c | 33,607$17,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,998.97 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Lions | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,100 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Lions | 53c | 24,384$12,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,504.87 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Buccaneers | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Lions | 52c | 19,225$9,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,228 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Lions | 53c | 19,072$10,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,954.05 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Buccaneers | 48c | 17,000$8,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,160 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Buccaneers | 48c | 10,533$5,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,056 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Lions | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Lions | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.99 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Lions | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.99 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Buccaneers | 47c | 8,500$3,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,995 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Lions | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576d…767dbacked Buccaneers | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Buccaneers | 47c | 5,547$2,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,607.09 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +134.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Lions | 52c | 5,528$2,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,635.91 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lions | 53c | 5,343$2,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,511.21 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Lions | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9481…4931backed Buccaneers | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Buccaneers | 47c | 3,186$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.64 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Buccaneers | 47c | 3,054$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.52 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Buccaneers | 47c | 2,859$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.66 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Lions | 52c | 2,797$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.58 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc65…7379backed Buccaneers | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Buccaneers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Buccaneers | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Lions | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Lions | 50c | 1,795$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.5 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Lions | 54c | 1,715$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.9 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f44…1c79backed Lions | 53c | 1,578$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9126…a984backed Buccaneers | 48c | 1,578$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Buccaneers | 46c | 1,572$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.03 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…fe62backed Lions | 52c | 1,548$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ff…1e37backed Buccaneers | 49c | 1,548$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…23d3backed Buccaneers | 48c | 1,547$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe3…5a21backed Lions | 53c | 1,547$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Lions | 52c | 1,485$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.57 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Buccaneers | 48c | 1,458$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Buccaneers | 47c | 1,458$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.04 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b02…f3d9backed Lions | 53c | 1,300$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611 | 211 | 51.2%108 W · 103 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…366bbacked Buccaneers | 47c | 1,250$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Lions | 54c | 1,234$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.48 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Buccaneers | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Lions | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…5696backed Lions | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Lions | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Lions | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Buccaneers | 48c | 925$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Lions | 53c | 747.73$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.73 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…c165backed Lions | 53c | 716$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.52 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Buccaneers | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe96…94d5backed Buccaneers | 48c | 645.83$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Buccaneers | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Buccaneers | 49c | 612.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.15 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Lions | 53c | 555$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.85 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Buccaneers | 37c | 529.01$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.78 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Lions | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.29 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Lions | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Buccaneers | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Lions | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +135.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…c24dbacked Lions | 53c | 480$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.6 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Lions | 53c | 430.19$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.19 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Lions | 53c | 430$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.1 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Buccaneers | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Buccaneers | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Lions | 52c | 350$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Buccaneers | 45c | 307.32$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.21 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Buccaneers | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1498…a10bbacked Lions | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Buccaneers | 49c | 280$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.2 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Lions | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 180 | 51.7%93 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…508abacked Lions | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2a…3141backed Buccaneers | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -7.1wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Buccaneers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Buccaneers | 48c | 206.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Buccaneers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Buccaneers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -12.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…28eabacked Lions | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…534cbacked Lions | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Buccaneers | 49c | 183.33$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Buccaneers | 27c | 155.7$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8a…7d5ebacked Buccaneers | 48c | 154.17$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +116.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Buccaneers | 47c | 149$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -10.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Lions | 53c | 146.26$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.74 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…b17abacked Buccaneers | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed Lions | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Lions | 53c | 130$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 594 | 53.7%319 W · 275 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Lions | 53c | 104$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f8…5897backed Buccaneers | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Buccaneers | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…c18dbacked Lions | 53c | 99.89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Buccaneers | 26c | 95.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 310 | 32.6%101 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…9748backed Lions | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Lions | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf068…6184backed Lions | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Lions | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lions (-5.5)this page
- Buccaneers vs. LionsLions won
- Buccaneers vs. Lions: O/U 52.5Under won
- Buccaneers vs. Lions: O/U 53.5Under won
- Buccaneers vs. Lions: O/U 54.5Under won
- Spread: Lions (-4.5)Lions won
- Spread: Lions (-6.5)Lions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.