TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Lions (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lionsof Lions, Buccaneers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$229,895
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$232,065

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,895 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Buccaneers52c57,419$30,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,097.931240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1fce…2229backed Buccaneers51c56,639$28,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,885.831855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Lions48c51,515$24,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,004.5627454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Buccaneers53c33,208$17,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,476.3833553.4%179 W · 156 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Lions49c23,340$11,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,903.289944.4%44 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Lions49c20,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,20013654.4%74 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Lions48c15,195$7,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,901.417041.8%71 W · 99 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Lions47c15,000$7,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,949.9914450%72 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Lions48c15,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,799.9920634.5%71 W · 135 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Lions47c12,670$5,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,713.961148.6%297 W · 314 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa4…e9d2backed Lions48c9,375$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,875757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Buccaneers53c8,925$4,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7305358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Lions49c8,163$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,163.2760049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Buccaneers52c7,500$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9003444.1%15 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Buccaneers52c7,500$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9008845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Lions49c6,340$3,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,233.468446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Buccaneers52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,12051352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Lions47c5,535$2,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,929.671,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Lions49c5,000$2,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,533.3435848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Buccaneers51c4,481$2,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,285.4912352.8%65 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5672…5019backed Buccaneers52c3,846$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005141.2%21 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Buccaneers51c3,258$1,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,646.3241851.9%217 W · 201 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ae…b883backed Lions49c3,069$1,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,565.252070%14 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+28.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x32b4…4743backed Buccaneers53c2,377$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1865…8f1bbacked Lions47c2,377$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2601100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Buccaneers53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0605446.3%25 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x205b…dd3cbacked Buccaneers51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02014148.2%68 W · 73 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Buccaneers52c1,999$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.518435.9%66 W · 118 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Lions47c1,917$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,01637350.9%190 W · 183 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Lions48c1,458$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.9210061%61 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x31b8…606fbacked Lions47c1,242$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa51d…3d7ebacked Buccaneers53c1,242$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Lions48c1,200$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62412343.1%53 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lions47c1,073$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.811,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Buccaneers52c1,040$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.83372.7%24 W · 9 L+6.0wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+29.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Lions49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51011446.5%53 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Buccaneers50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010434.6%36 W · 68 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Lions60c916$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.410624.5%26 W · 80 L-12.6wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-40.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Lions47c796.07$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.9125956.8%147 W · 112 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x46f5…a1d8backed Buccaneers53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4005442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Buccaneers52c500$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2627526.7%20 W · 55 L-12.9wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-51.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Lions47c499.98$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.997436.5%27 W · 47 L-7.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Buccaneers52c435.5$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.3777052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x022a…df5ebacked Buccaneers52c423.08$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22018843.1%81 W · 107 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc732…097bbacked Buccaneers53c422$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.662339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Lions49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20431540.6%128 W · 187 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Lions48c315$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.830442.4%129 W · 175 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Buccaneers39c309$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.848847.5%232 W · 256 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Buccaneers53c220$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.66540%26 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Lions47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10624456.6%138 W · 106 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb581…fa4ebacked Buccaneers52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1043043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Buccaneers44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8818744.9%84 W · 103 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47ca…c7f5backed Buccaneers53c194.62$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.152433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Lions48c187.5$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.528047.5%133 W · 147 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Buccaneers50c179.08$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.141248.5%200 W · 212 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Lions56c168$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9241947.3%198 W · 221 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9161…622ebacked Lions48c164.29$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.433132.3%10 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Lions48c161.9$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9931350.2%157 W · 156 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Buccaneers53c160$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.833047.9%158 W · 172 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Buccaneers52c149.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782850%14 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f55…bae8backed Lions49c117.51$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9316048.1%77 W · 83 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Lions67c116$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.664747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Lions48c115$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.859453.7%319 W · 275 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b8c…e115backed Buccaneers53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535149%25 W · 26 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf63…b05bbacked Buccaneers52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Lions48c93.75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7517547.4%83 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Lions60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0513065.4%85 W · 45 L+17.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+37.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8c8b…444bbacked Buccaneers54c74.01$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.921136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Lions47c72.22$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2811450%57 W · 57 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Lions49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0213339.8%53 W · 80 L-10.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Lions48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2624547.8%117 W · 128 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e17…00d1backed Buccaneers48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.91323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc394…315dbacked Lions48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.672240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Buccaneers29c38.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.945679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc95f…357fbacked Buccaneers53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf998…7b41backed Buccaneers53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.31per pick59cpaid-55.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5db0…a3b6backed Buccaneers53c33.55$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.781844.4%8 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick63cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xed9e…f83fbacked Buccaneers48c30.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Lions48c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.68361.4%51 W · 32 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbba6…d3e5backed Buccaneers53c29.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bf3…379bbacked Buccaneers53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0157…4eb7backed Buccaneers53c23.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76a1…5084backed Buccaneers52c21.43$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.241040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-44.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f06…2614backed Buccaneers52c20.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.654860.4%29 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Lions60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85038%19 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7350…4b0bbacked Buccaneers53c19.09$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.